Result
2:1
21/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group H - Round 17
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Cisse I. ⚽,
- 12', 2 - 0, Calabria E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+6', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ferrandina 36.6% | Draw 26.8% | Heraclea 36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferrandina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Heraclea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrandina than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heraclea than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Ferrandina - Heraclea Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.48 ↓ (2.49) |
3.38 ↓ (3.46) |
2.48 ↓ (2.49) |
10.4% (9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 9).
- Recent performances by Ferrandina have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Heraclea is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrandina won against Heraclea?
Ferrandina has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heraclea won against Ferrandina?
Heraclea has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrandina - Heraclea were as follows:
Latest results of Ferrandina
Latest results of Heraclea
Italian Serie D - Group H Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barletta | 31 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 48:18 | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 59 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 44:33 | 11 | 56 |
| 4 | Paganese | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 55 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 31 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 49 |
| 6 | Afragolese | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
| 7 | Virtus Francavilla | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 42:31 | 11 | 47 |
| 8 | Gravina | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40:38 | 2 | 46 |
| 9 | Fidelis Andria | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
| 10 | Sarnese | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Real Normanna | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 23:23 | 0 | 39 |
| 12 | SS Nola 1925 | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 40:43 | -3 | 37 |
| 13 | Francavilla | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 36 |
| 14 | Manfredonia | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:36 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 27:33 | -6 | 35 |
| 16 | Ferrandina | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 19:41 | -22 | 26 |
| 17 | Pompei | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 17:35 | -18 | 25 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 31 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 18:66 | -48 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
Relegation