Ferrandina vs Heraclea – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Cisse I. ,
  • 12', 2 - 0, Calabria E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Ferrandina
36.6%
Draw
26.8%
Heraclea
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 26.5% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 25.5% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferrandina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Heraclea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrandina than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heraclea than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Ferrandina - Heraclea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.49)
    3.38
    (3.46)
    2.48
    (2.49)
    10.4%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 9).
    • Recent performances by Ferrandina have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Heraclea is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Ferrandina
    14.12.2025 Nardo - Ferrandina 1:0
    07.12.2025 Ferrandina - Nola 1:0
    30.11.2025 Gravina - Ferrandina 3:1
    16.11.2025 Paganese - Ferrandina 0:0
    Latest results of Heraclea
    14.12.2025 Heraclea - Martina Calcio 0:1
    07.12.2025 Barletta - Heraclea 1:0
    29.11.2025 Heraclea - Pompei 0:2
    23.11.2025 Manfredonia - Heraclea 2:0
    16.11.2025 Heraclea - Francavilla 0:1
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barletta26149338:132551
    2Martina Calcio26156535:201551
    3Paganese26155625:17850
    4Citta di Fasano26137635:28746
    5Afragolese26126839:31842
    6A.C.D. Nardo261011533:24941
    7Gravina26116933:33039
    8Virtus Francavilla26910736:261037
    9SS Nola 192526107938:37137
    10Fidelis Andria26971027:23434
    11Heraclea26951222:26-432
    12Manfredonia26881025:30-532
    13Francavilla26871125:29-431
    14Real Normanna26612818:19-130
    15Sarnese266101037:40-328
    16Ferrandina26661416:29-1324
    17Pompei26461612:29-1718
    18Acerrana26341915:55-4013

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation