Ferro 2 vs Independiente 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Reserve League Ferro 2 - Independiente 2
Result
3:2
16/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Reserve League - Clausura - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaLPF Play

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, ,
  • 37', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 62', 3 - 0, ,
  • 66', 3 - 1, ,
  • 70', 3 - 2, ,
  • 76', 🟥,
  • 90+1', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Ferro 2
31.4%
Draw
29%
Independiente 2
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.6% 30.9% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4% 30.6% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferro 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferro 2's performance.
  • Independiente 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro 2 than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferro 2 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Ferro 2 - Independiente 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.05
    (3.54)
    3.3
    (2.93)
    2.41
    (2.08)
    4.6%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Recent form of Ferro 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Independiente 2 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Independiente 2 could have a small edge in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Ferro 2
    Latest results of Independiente 2
    Argentinian Reserve League Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors 2 ✔ 1392220:71329
    2Belgrano 2 ✔ 1384124:101428
    3Huracan 21474322:121025
    4Racing Club 21474320:18225
    5Union de Santa Fe 21473424:20424
    6Newells Old Boys 21463519:19021
    7Tigre 21455415:15020
    8Argentinos Jrs 21454520:17319
    9Barracas Central 21454513:15-219
    10Ind. Rivadavia 21444620:21-116
    11Estudiantes L.P. 21436517:16115
    12Colon Santa Fe 21436510:16-615
    13Central Cordoba 21434716:24-813
    14Banfield 21433811:23-1212
    15Aldosivi 21432913:19-611
    16Defensa y Justicia 21424813:22-910


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central 2 ✔ 1493225:121330
    2River Plate 2 ✔ 1476123:91427
    3Instituto 2 ✔ 1475219:91026
    4Gimnasia L.P. 2 ✔ 1475219:11826
    5Atl. Tucuman 2 ✔ 1473423:16724
    6Independiente 21463520:19121
    7San Lorenzo 21445515:16-117
    8Talleres Cordoba 21452712:17-517
    9San Martin S.J. 21452714:20-617
    10Lanus 21452712:18-617
    11Sarmiento Junin 21444611:16-516
    12Platense 21444611:19-816
    13Velez Sarsfield 21436513:15-215
    14Godoy Cruz 21442816:20-414
    15Ferro 21434714:26-1213
    16Deportivo Riestra 21432912:19-711

          Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Boca Juniors 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Belgrano 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Instituto 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Gimnasia L.P. 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Atl. Tucuman 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)