Ferro 2 vs Independiente 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
16/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Reserve League - Clausura - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaLPF Play

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, ,
  • 37', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 62', 3 - 0, ,
  • 66', 3 - 1, ,
  • 70', 3 - 2, ,
  • 76', 🟥,
  • 90+1', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Ferro 2
31.4%
Draw
29%
Independiente 2
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.6% 30.9% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4% 30.6% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferro 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferro 2's performance.
  • Independiente 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro 2 than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferro 2 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Ferro 2 - Independiente 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.05
    (3.54)
    3.3
    (2.93)
    2.41
    (2.08)
    4.6%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Recent form of Ferro 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Independiente 2 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Independiente 2 could have a small edge in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Ferro 2
    Latest results of Independiente 2
    Argentinian Reserve League Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield 232107:347
    2Racing Club 232107:347
    3Gimnasia L.P. 232105:237
    4Atl. Tucuman 232104:227
    5River Plate 232017:256
    6Instituto 231203:215
    7Rosario Central 231114:314
    8Talleres Cordoba 231115:504
    9Sarmiento Junin 231113:304
    10San Lorenzo 231113:4-14
    11Argentinos Jrs 230302:203
    12Tigre 231021:3-23
    13Barracas Central 231021:4-33
    14Union de Santa Fe 230213:4-12
    15Gimnasia Mendoza 230212:6-42
    16Godoy Cruz 230124:7-31
    17Aldosivi 230124:7-31
    18Banfield 230121:4-31


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan 232107:257
    2Lanus 232107:347
    3Boca Juniors 232106:247
    4Quilmes 232102:027
    5Deportivo Riestra 232017:346
    6Independiente 232016:426
    7Defensa y Justicia 232014:226
    8Estudiantes L.P. 231203:035
    9Central Cordoba 231114:404
    10Platense 231113:5-24
    11Newells Old Boys 231112:4-24
    12Atl. Rafaela 231026:513
    13Ind. Rivadavia 231022:3-13
    14Ferro 231023:6-33
    15Colon Santa Fe 230121:3-21
    16Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 230122:6-41
    17Belgrano 230122:7-51
    18San Martin S.J. 230032:10-80

          Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)