Ferro 2 vs Independiente 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
16/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Reserve League - Clausura - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaLPF Play

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, ,
  • 37', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 62', 3 - 0, ,
  • 66', 3 - 1, ,
  • 70', 3 - 2, ,
  • 76', 🟥,
  • 90+1', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Ferro 2
31.4%
Draw
29%
Independiente 2
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.6% 30.9% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4% 30.6% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferro 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferro 2's performance.
  • Independiente 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro 2 than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferro 2 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Ferro 2 - Independiente 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.05
    (3.54)
    3.3
    (2.93)
    2.41
    (2.08)
    4.6%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Recent form of Ferro 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Independiente 2 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Independiente 2 could have a small edge in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Ferro 2
    Latest results of Independiente 2
    Argentinian Reserve League Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club 2742113:8514
    2Velez Sarsfield 2641112:5713
    3Instituto 263219:6311
    4Talleres Cordoba 263218:5311
    5San Lorenzo 263217:5211
    6River Plate 2631210:5510
    7Atl. Tucuman 263126:6010
    8Rosario Central 262228:628
    9Gimnasia L.P. 262228:808
    10Gimnasia Mendoza 262226:9-38
    11Argentinos Jrs 261417:617
    12Union de Santa Fe 261417:707
    13Aldosivi 272149:11-27
    14Sarmiento Junin 262135:7-27
    15Godoy Cruz 261236:10-45
    16Tigre 261143:7-44
    17Barracas Central 261142:10-84
    18Banfield 260332:7-53


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors 2651016:41216
    2Lanus 2751113:7616
    3Deportivo Riestra 2741212:5713
    4Defensa y Justicia 2741213:9413
    5Newells Old Boys 274126:6013
    6Independiente 2732214:8611
    7Quilmes 263215:3211
    8Platense 273227:8-111
    9Huracan 2631214:8610
    10Estudiantes L.P. 262226:428
    11Ind. Rivadavia 272239:818
    12Colon Santa Fe 272145:6-17
    13Ferro 262137:9-27
    14Atl. Rafaela 2720510:12-26
    15Belgrano 271247:14-75
    16Central Cordoba 261145:16-114
    17Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 260333:10-73
    18San Martin S.J. 261056:21-153

          Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)