Ferro 2 vs Independiente 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
16/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Reserve League - Clausura - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaLPF Play

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, ,
  • 37', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 62', 3 - 0, ,
  • 66', 3 - 1, ,
  • 70', 3 - 2, ,
  • 76', 🟥,
  • 90+1', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Ferro 2
31.4%
Draw
29%
Independiente 2
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.6% 30.9% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4% 30.6% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferro 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferro 2's performance.
  • Independiente 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro 2 than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferro 2 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Ferro 2 - Independiente 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.05
    (3.54)
    3.3
    (2.93)
    2.41
    (2.08)
    4.6%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Recent form of Ferro 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Independiente 2 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Independiente 2 could have a small edge in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Ferro 2
    Latest results of Independiente 2
    Argentinian Reserve League Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield 21081123:61725
    2Rosario Central 21053217:12518
    3Racing Club 21053216:11518
    4Talleres Cordoba 21044211:9216
    5Instituto 21036113:10315
    6Atl. Tucuman 21043312:11115
    7Gimnasia L.P. 21042413:10314
    8River Plate 21042412:10214
    9Argentinos Jrs 2103529:8114
    10Union de Santa Fe 21035213:13014
    11San Lorenzo 2104249:12-314
    12Sarmiento Junin 2103348:10-212
    13Banfield 2103347:9-212
    14Barracas Central 2103256:13-711
    15Tigre 2102357:10-39
    16Gimnasia Mendoza 2102356:13-79
    17Godoy Cruz 21022610:17-78
    18Aldosivi 2102179:19-107


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors 21072121:61523
    2Quilmes 21063110:3721
    3Defensa y Justicia 21062223:101320
    4Lanus 21062217:11620
    5Independiente 21052320:12817
    6Newells Old Boys 21052312:11117
    7Deportivo Riestra 21051417:9816
    8Huracan 21043316:10615
    9Platense 21043310:11-115
    10Estudiantes L.P. 2103347:6112
    11Ind. Rivadavia 21033411:11012
    12Ferro 21032510:14-411
    13Belgrano 21032513:20-711
    14Central Cordoba 21024411:20-910
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2101547:15-88
    16Atl. Rafaela 21021713:17-47
    17Colon Santa Fe 2102177:13-67
    18San Martin S.J. 2102089:33-246

          Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)