Result
2:1
23/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Benegas M. 🟨,
- 29', Valdez J. 🟨,
- 32', Meritello F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', Lorenzo A. 🟨,
- 61', Fedele L. ↓, Medina N. ↑,
- 61', Cosi J. ↓, Quiroga S. ↑,
- 61', Benegas M. ↓, Montiel N. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 0, Medina N. ⚽, Ambrogio L. (A),
- 66', Campos M. ↓, Tomasetti G. ↑,
- 66', Ayala R. ↓, Monserrat M. ↑,
- 68', Ambrogio L. ↓, Coronel S. ↑,
- 68', Valdez J. ↓, Ramirez R. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Garcia F. ⚽,
- 77', Garcia F. ↓, Parisi L. ↑,
- 77', Dellarossa J. ↓, Echeverria M. ↑,
- 77', Bisanz F. ↓, Bauman J. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Ramirez R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Atlanta Buenos Aires 46.6% | Draw 32% | Ferro Carril Oeste 21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlanta Buenos Aires's form might have worsened.Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta Buenos Aires, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2 ↑ (1.65) |
2.93 ↓ (3.5) |
4.45 ↓ (4.95) |
6.7% (9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Ferro Carril (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Atlanta Buenos Aires will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 50%). Ferro Carril (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Atlanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Atlanta is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta Buenos Aires won against Ferro Carril Oeste?
Atlanta Buenos Aires has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferro Carril Oeste won against Atlanta Buenos Aires?
Ferro Carril Oeste has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste were as follows:
22.04.2025
Ferro Carril Oeste
-
Atlanta Buenos Aires
0:1
24.09.2023
Atlanta Buenos Aires
-
Ferro Carril Oeste
1:1
14.05.2023
Ferro Carril Oeste
-
Atlanta Buenos Aires
2:0
Latest results of Atlanta Buenos Aires
Latest results of Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Acassuso | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | San Miguel | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Almirante Brown | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Ferro | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 5 | Deportivo Moron | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | Colon Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Def. de Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | All Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | CA Mitre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Godoy Cruz | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Ciudad Bolivar | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Deportivo Madryn | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Los Andes | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | San Telmo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Central Norte | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Chaco For Ever | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | CA Estudiantes | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Nueva Chicago | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | San Martin T | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Tristan Suarez | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Chacarita Juniors | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Midland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Atl. Rafaela | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Atletico Atlanta | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Temperley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Club A. Guemes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Colegiales | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Agropecuario | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Patronato | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Quilmes | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Almagro | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation