Result
2:1
23/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Benegas M. 🟨,
- 29', Valdez J. 🟨,
- 32', Meritello F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', Lorenzo A. 🟨,
- 61', Fedele L. ↓, Medina N. ↑,
- 61', Cosi J. ↓, Quiroga S. ↑,
- 61', Benegas M. ↓, Montiel N. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 0, Medina N. ⚽, Ambrogio L. (A),
- 66', Campos M. ↓, Tomasetti G. ↑,
- 66', Ayala R. ↓, Monserrat M. ↑,
- 68', Ambrogio L. ↓, Coronel S. ↑,
- 68', Valdez J. ↓, Ramirez R. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Garcia F. ⚽,
- 77', Garcia F. ↓, Parisi L. ↑,
- 77', Dellarossa J. ↓, Echeverria M. ↑,
- 77', Bisanz F. ↓, Bauman J. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Ramirez R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Atlanta Buenos Aires
46.6% | Draw
32% | Ferro Carril Oeste
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlanta Buenos Aires's form might have worsened.Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta Buenos Aires, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↑
(1.65) |
2.93 ↓
(3.5) |
4.45 ↓
(4.95) |
6.7%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste?
Users Predictions:
Atlanta Buenos Aires will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Atlanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Atlanta is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta Buenos Aires won against Ferro Carril Oeste?
Atlanta Buenos Aires has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferro Carril Oeste won against Atlanta Buenos Aires?
Ferro Carril Oeste has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste were as follows:
22.04.2025
Ferro Carril Oeste
-
Atlanta Buenos Aires
0:1
24.09.2023
Atlanta Buenos Aires
-
Ferro Carril Oeste
1:1
14.05.2023
Ferro Carril Oeste
-
Atlanta Buenos Aires
2:0
Latest results of Atlanta Buenos Aires
Latest results of Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn ✔ | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 45:28 | 17 | 60 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta ✔ | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 55 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez ✔ | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 33:23 | 10 | 52 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro ✔ | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 34:23 | 11 | 51 |
| 5 | San Miguel ✔ | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 50 |
| 6 | San Martin T. ✔ | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 32:29 | 3 | 49 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu ✔ | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 34:30 | 4 | 48 |
| 8 | Patronato ✔ | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 48 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 26:26 | 0 | 47 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 38:45 | -7 | 41 |
| 11 | Ferro | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 24:33 | -9 | 41 |
| 12 | Los Andes | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 28:28 | 0 | 40 |
| 13 | Club A. Guemes | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 28:32 | -4 | 40 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:32 | -2 | 38 |
| 15 | All Boys | 33 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | Almagro | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 35 |
| 17 | Arsenal Sarandi ✔ | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:47 | -9 | 34 |
| 18 | Alvarado ✔ | 34 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 18:33 | -15 | 33 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 34:18 | 16 | 60 |
| 2 | CA Estudiantes | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 40:21 | 19 | 58 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 35:18 | 17 | 57 |
| 4 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 57 |
| 5 | Gimnasia Jujuy ✔ | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 34:20 | 14 | 54 |
| 6 | Chaco For Ever | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 33:25 | 8 | 52 |
| 7 | Temperley | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 52 |
| 8 | Agropecuario | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 41:34 | 7 | 51 |
| 9 | Chacarita Juniors | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 37:27 | 10 | 49 |
| 10 | Def. de Belgrano | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 30:25 | 5 | 48 |
| 11 | Nueva Chicago | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 27:30 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 27:30 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 26:39 | -13 | 36 |
| 15 | Almirante Brown | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 33 |
| 16 | Colon Santa Fe | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 21:39 | -18 | 29 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) ✔ | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 16:38 | -22 | 23 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos ✔ | 33 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 17:51 | -34 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Deportivo Madryn is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Super final )
Atletico Atlanta is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Tristan Suarez is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Gimnasia y Tiro is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
San Miguel is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
San Martin T. is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Deportivo Maipu is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Patronato is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Arsenal Sarandi is Relegated to
Alvarado is Relegated to
Gimnasia Jujuy is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Talleres (R.E) is Relegated to
Defensores Unidos is Relegated to
