Result
2:1
23/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Benegas M. 🟨,
- 29', Valdez J. 🟨,
- 32', Meritello F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', Lorenzo A. 🟨,
- 61', Fedele L. ↓, Medina N. ↑,
- 61', Cosi J. ↓, Quiroga S. ↑,
- 61', Benegas M. ↓, Montiel N. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 0, Medina N. ⚽, Ambrogio L. (A),
- 66', Campos M. ↓, Tomasetti G. ↑,
- 66', Ayala R. ↓, Monserrat M. ↑,
- 68', Ambrogio L. ↓, Coronel S. ↑,
- 68', Valdez J. ↓, Ramirez R. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Garcia F. ⚽,
- 77', Garcia F. ↓, Parisi L. ↑,
- 77', Dellarossa J. ↓, Echeverria M. ↑,
- 77', Bisanz F. ↓, Bauman J. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Ramirez R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Atlanta Buenos Aires
46.6% | Draw
32% | Ferro Carril Oeste
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlanta Buenos Aires's form might have worsened.Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta Buenos Aires, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↑
(1.65) |
2.93 ↓
(3.5) |
4.45 ↓
(4.95) |
6.7%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste?
Users Predictions:
Atlanta Buenos Aires will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Atlanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Atlanta is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta Buenos Aires won against Ferro Carril Oeste?
Atlanta Buenos Aires has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferro Carril Oeste won against Atlanta Buenos Aires?
Ferro Carril Oeste has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste were as follows:
22.04.2025
Ferro Carril Oeste
-
Atlanta Buenos Aires
0:1
24.09.2023
Atlanta Buenos Aires
-
Ferro Carril Oeste
1:1
14.05.2023
Ferro Carril Oeste
-
Atlanta Buenos Aires
2:0
Latest results of Atlanta Buenos Aires
Latest results of Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 47 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | San Martin T | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 43 |
| 4 | San Miguel | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 43 |
| 5 | Patronato | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 24:19 | 5 | 41 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 23:15 | 8 | 40 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
| 10 | Quilmes | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | All Boys | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 22:22 | 0 | 33 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 13 | Colegiales | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 17:22 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Almagro | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ferro | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 17:29 | -12 | 30 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 28 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 27 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 27 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 52 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 31:13 | 18 | 50 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 29:16 | 13 | 46 |
| 4 | Chacarita Juniors | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 46 |
| 5 | CA Estudiantes | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 30:19 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 27:17 | 10 | 44 |
| 7 | Temperley | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Chaco For Ever | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 28:23 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Agropecuario | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | San Telmo | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 35 |
| 11 | Def. de Belgrano | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 22:22 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 24:27 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 | Central Norte | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 23:30 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 19:22 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 21:34 | -13 | 28 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 25 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 13:34 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 27 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 15:45 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
