Atlanta Buenos Aires vs Ferro Carril Oeste – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
23/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports, TyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
107
Corner Kicks
31
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
129
Shots on target
107
Shots off target
22
Corner Kicks
31
Goalkeeper Saves
68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Benegas M. 🟨,
  • 29', Valdez J. 🟨,
  • 32', Meritello F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 53', Lorenzo A. 🟨,
  • 61', Fedele L. , Medina N. ,
  • 61', Cosi J. , Quiroga S. ,
  • 61', Benegas M. , Montiel N. ,
  • 62', 1 - 0, Medina N. , Ambrogio L. (A),
  • 66', Campos M. , Tomasetti G. ,
  • 66', Ayala R. , Monserrat M. ,
  • 68', Ambrogio L. , Coronel S. ,
  • 68', Valdez J. , Ramirez R. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Garcia F. ,
  • 77', Garcia F. , Parisi L. ,
  • 77', Dellarossa J. , Echeverria M. ,
  • 77', Bisanz F. , Bauman J. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Ramirez R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlanta Buenos Aires
46.6%
Draw
32%
Ferro Carril Oeste
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 26.1% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 24.8% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlanta Buenos Aires's form might have worsened.
  • Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta Buenos Aires, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.65)
    2.93
    (3.5)
    4.45
    (4.95)
    6.7%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Ferro Carril (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Atlanta Buenos Aires will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 50%). Ferro Carril (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Atlanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atlanta is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste were as follows:
    22.04.2025 Ferro Carril Oeste - Atlanta Buenos Aires 0:1
    24.09.2023 Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste 1:1
    14.05.2023 Ferro Carril Oeste - Atlanta Buenos Aires 2:0
    Latest results of Atlanta Buenos Aires
    Latest results of Ferro Carril Oeste
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Acassuso33008:269
    2San Miguel32104:137
    3Almirante Brown32103:127
    4Ferro31204:225
    5Deportivo Moron31204:225
    6Colon Santa Fe31203:215
    7Def. de Belgrano31203:215
    8All Boys31113:304
    9CA Mitre31112:204
    10Racing Cordoba31111:3-24
    11Godoy Cruz30302:203
    12Ciudad Bolivar30302:203
    13Deportivo Madryn30212:3-12
    14Los Andes30211:2-12
    15San Telmo30124:7-31
    16Central Norte30120:3-31
    17Chaco For Ever30122:6-41
    18CA Estudiantes30030:3-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia y Tiro33006:249
    2Nueva Chicago32103:037
    3Gimnasia Jujuy32014:406
    4San Martin T31203:215
    5Tristan Suarez31202:115
    6Chacarita Juniors31115:414
    7Midland31113:214
    8Deportivo Maipu31115:504
    9San Martin S.J31114:404
    10Atl. Rafaela31112:204
    11Atletico Atlanta31111:104
    12Temperley31111:104
    13Club A. Guemes31023:4-13
    14Colegiales31022:4-23
    15Agropecuario31022:4-23
    16Patronato30211:2-12
    17Quilmes30120:2-21
    18Almagro30120:3-31

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation