Result
2:1
23/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Benegas M. 🟨,
- 29', Valdez J. 🟨,
- 32', Meritello F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', Lorenzo A. 🟨,
- 61', Fedele L. ↓, Medina N. ↑,
- 61', Cosi J. ↓, Quiroga S. ↑,
- 61', Benegas M. ↓, Montiel N. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 0, Medina N. ⚽, Ambrogio L. (A),
- 66', Campos M. ↓, Tomasetti G. ↑,
- 66', Ayala R. ↓, Monserrat M. ↑,
- 68', Ambrogio L. ↓, Coronel S. ↑,
- 68', Valdez J. ↓, Ramirez R. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Garcia F. ⚽,
- 77', Garcia F. ↓, Parisi L. ↑,
- 77', Dellarossa J. ↓, Echeverria M. ↑,
- 77', Bisanz F. ↓, Bauman J. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Ramirez R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Atlanta Buenos Aires
46.6% | Draw
32% | Ferro Carril Oeste
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlanta Buenos Aires's form might have worsened.Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta Buenos Aires, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↑
(1.65) |
2.93 ↓
(3.5) |
4.45 ↓
(4.95) |
6.7%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste?
Users Predictions:
Atlanta Buenos Aires will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Atlanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Atlanta is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta Buenos Aires won against Ferro Carril Oeste?
Atlanta Buenos Aires has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferro Carril Oeste won against Atlanta Buenos Aires?
Ferro Carril Oeste has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste were as follows:
22.04.2025
Ferro Carril Oeste
-
Atlanta Buenos Aires
0:1
24.09.2023
Atlanta Buenos Aires
-
Ferro Carril Oeste
1:1
14.05.2023
Ferro Carril Oeste
-
Atlanta Buenos Aires
2:0
Latest results of Atlanta Buenos Aires
Latest results of Ferro Carril Oeste
Draw
Promotion - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | Bye | |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | San Miguel | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | Chaco For Ever | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | San Martin T. | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | Patronato | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | Temperley | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | Deportivo Maipu | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Tristan Suarez | Agropecuario | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | Gimnasia Jujuy | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | Deportivo Moron | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | Gimnasia y Tiro | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | CA Estudiantes | Tristan Suarez | 0 : 0 |
