Ferro Carril Oeste vs Defensores de Belgrano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/05/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Ferro Carril Oeste
46.5%
Draw
33.1%
Defensores de Belgrano
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 35.2% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 35.1% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Ferro Carril Oeste - Defensores de Belgrano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.09)
    2.78
    (2.64)
    4.51
    (4.58)
    8.5%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Defensores may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ferro Carril is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ferro Carril won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ferro Carril won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Ferro Carril Oeste
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron1163218:11721
    2Colon Santa Fe1154212:8419
    3Los Andes114529:4517
    4Almirante Brown115248:8017
    5Deportivo Madryn1144315:11416
    6Godoy Cruz1137110:8216
    7Ciudad Bolivar113719:7216
    8Ferro1143411:10115
    9Def. de Belgrano1136210:9115
    10Racing Cordoba1143411:12-115
    11San Miguel113539:11-214
    12CA Estudiantes114257:9-214
    13San Telmo1134412:14-213
    14CA Mitre1126310:11-112
    15All Boys112545:8-311
    16Central Norte112454:8-410
    17Acassuso113178:13-510
    18Chaco For Ever111469:16-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy1172219:12723
    2Tristan Suarez1155112:6620
    3Atletico Atlanta1161414:9519
    4San Martin T1146112:8418
    5Nueva Chicago1145211:8317
    6Atl. Rafaela1144311:8316
    7Midland1144310:8216
    8Temperley113719:7216
    9Agropecuario1142512:15-314
    10Quilmes1134411:8313
    11San Martin S.J113449:11-213
    12Patronato113446:10-413
    13Deportivo Maipu1133512:14-212
    14Gimnasia y Tiro1133512:15-312
    15Chacarita Juniors113359:12-312
    16Colegiales113358:12-412
    17Club A. Guemes1124511:16-510
    18Almagro112366:14-89

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation