Ferro Carril Oeste vs Patronato Parana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
04/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
114
Corner Kicks
42
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
167
Shots on target
114
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Garcia F. ,
  • 21', Marcioni J. , Pereyra V. L. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Gallucci S. , Picco A. R. ,
  • 46', Sanchez G. , Barolin J. ,
  • 52', Cuzzani F. , Esidin T. ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Barolin J. ,
  • 62', Garcia F. , Montiel N. ,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Olguin G. ,
  • 70', Campos M. , Ayala G. ,
  • 70', Obradovich F. , Fernandez Pinto J. ,
  • 72', 3 - 1, Esidin T. ,
  • 77', Castro F. , Enrique M. ,
  • 77', Barinaga J. , Pardo M. ,
  • 84', Montiel N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ferro Carril Oeste
34.1%
Draw
33.3%
Patronato Parana
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.4% 31.9% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 30.6% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferro Carril Oeste's form might have worsened.
  • Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Patronato Parana's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferro Carril Oeste, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Patronato Parana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ferro Carril Oeste - Patronato Parana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (2.04)
    2.79
    (2.91)
    2.86
    (4.08)
    7.4%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Ferro Carril Oeste - Patronato Parana?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Patronato (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Patronato (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Patronato is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferro Carril won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ferro Carril won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ferro Carril won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferro Carril Oeste - Patronato Parana were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Patronato Parana - Ferro Carril Oeste 3:0
    25.08.2024 Patronato Parana - Ferro Carril Oeste 1:3
    06.04.2024 Ferro Carril Oeste - Patronato Parana 1:1
    Latest results of Ferro Carril Oeste
    Latest results of Patronato Parana
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colon Santa Fe852111:5617
    2Def. de Belgrano83508:3514
    3Deportivo Moron842212:8414
    4Godoy Cruz83418:6213
    5Deportivo Madryn833211:7412
    6Los Andes83326:3312
    7San Miguel83328:8012
    8Racing Cordoba83235:8-311
    9Ciudad Bolivar81705:3210
    10Ferro82336:7-19
    11Acassuso83058:10-29
    12All Boys82334:6-29
    13Central Norte82333:5-29
    14CA Estudiantes83055:8-39
    15CA Mitre81527:9-28
    16San Telmo822410:13-38
    17Almirante Brown82245:8-38
    18Chaco For Ever81258:14-65


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy860212:10218
    2Tristan Suarez74309:2715
    3San Martin T835010:5514
    4Nueva Chicago74218:4414
    5Temperley83417:5213
    6Midland73316:3312
    7Quilmes832311:7411
    8Atl. Rafaela73226:5111
    9Gimnasia y Tiro83238:9-111
    10Club A. Guemes82339:11-29
    11Almagro82244:6-28
    12Chacarita Juniors82248:11-38
    13Agropecuario82246:9-38
    14Patronato82244:9-58
    15San Martin S.J71426:7-17
    16Atletico Atlanta72146:7-17
    17Deportivo Maipu821510:13-37
    18Colegiales82155:11-67

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation