Result
2:1
03/05/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 12
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Melillan F. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Cao R. ⚽, Roseti M. (A),
- 40', Berges F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Veliz D. ↓, Amilivia T. ↑,
- 46', Berges F. ↓, Gerez M. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Sanchez J. ⚽,
- 66', Frattini M. ↓, Penepil M. ↑,
- 73', Sanchez J. 🟨,
- 77', Casarico P. ↓, Gargiulo V. ↑,
- 77', Cao R. ↓, Torancio E. ↑,
- 78', Sanchez J. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 1, Gargiulo V. ⚽, Campana A. I. (A),
- 85', Perales J. ↓, Camano J. ↑,
- 85', Campana A. I. ↓, Gigli L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ferrocarril Midland 52.6% | Draw 31% | Güemes 16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)The ML Model estimate for Ferrocarril Midland aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Ferrocarril Midland - Güemes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.77 ↓ (1.83) |
2.99 ↑ (2.98) |
5.63 ↑ (5.33) |
7.6% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ferrocarril Midland - Güemes?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ferrocarril will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Güemes will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Ferrocarril is considered a favorite.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrocarril Midland won against Güemes?
Ferrocarril Midland has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Güemes won against Ferrocarril Midland?
Güemes has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrocarril Midland - Güemes were as follows:
Latest results of Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Moron | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Colon Santa Fe | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Los Andes | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Almirante Brown | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 17 |
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Godoy Cruz | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Ciudad Bolivar | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Ferro | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Def. de Belgrano | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | CA Estudiantes | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7:9 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | San Telmo | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | All Boys | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Central Norte | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4:8 | -4 | 10 |
| 17 | Acassuso | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | Chaco For Ever | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 23 |
| 2 | Tristan Suarez | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | San Martin T | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Nueva Chicago | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Atl. Rafaela | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Midland | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Temperley | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Agropecuario | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 | Quilmes | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Patronato | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Deportivo Maipu | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 16 | Colegiales | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 | Club A. Guemes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | Almagro | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation