Albacete Balompié vs Ferrol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
24/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 41
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainGolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 5, Movistar Plus+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.910.56
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
84% (336/401)80% (270/338)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.910.56
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.35
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
2324
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
84% (336/401)80% (270/338)
Long passes
53% (31/58)44% (21/48)
Passes in final third
74% (87/117)68% (65/96)
Crosses
22% (4/18)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.150.54
Throw-ins
2115
Fouls
1016
Tackles
61% (11/18)79% (15/19)
Duels won
5741
Clearances
2120
Interceptions
23
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.350.85
Goals prevented
0.35-1.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Touaizi N. ,
  • 45', Gimenez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Saenz P. , Garcia J. ,
  • 60', Morcillo J. , Fidel ,
  • 63', Touaizi N. 🟨,
  • 65', Kofane C. M. , Pacheco A. ,
  • 65', Javier Marton , Marin H. ,
  • 66', Pena H. , Garcia N. ,
  • 71', Puric A. 🟨,
  • 77', Puric A. 🟨,
  • 81', Touaizi N. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 82', Sanz A. , Borrego C. ,
  • 82', Gimenez A. , Jauregi E. ,
  • 83', Dorrio J. , Nacho ,
  • 87', Castro D. 🟥,
  • 89', 2 - 0, Marin H. ,
  • 90', Martinez B. 🟨,
  • 90', Sene J. , Gelardo A. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5b55papm

Chances of winning


Albacete Balompié
57.6%
Draw
23%
Ferrol
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.8% 20.9% 15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66% 20.2% 14.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albacete Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Albacete Balompié's form might have worsened.
  • Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Albacete Balompié, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Albacete Balompié - Ferrol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.47)
    4.05
    (4.51)
    4.86
    (6.14)
    6.7%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Albacete Balompié - Ferrol?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Albacete will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Albacete: 71.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Albacete (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 21 in the zone Relegation).
    • Ferrol is Relegated to
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Albacete may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Albacete is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Albacete: Costa J. (Red Card) Garcia H. J. (Knee Injury) Lazo J. (Injury) Rodriguez R. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Ferrol: Blanco R. (Leg Injury) Bunuel A. (Eye injury) Cabaco E. (Knee Injury) Perea L. (Heel Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Albacete won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 2.8:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Albacete won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albacete Balompié - Ferrol were as follows:
    21.09.2024 Ferrol - Albacete Balompié 1:4
    25.03.2024 Albacete Balompié - Ferrol 1:1
    03.12.2023 Ferrol - Albacete Balompié 5:4
    Latest results of Albacete Balompié
    Latest results of Ferrol
    18.05.2025 Ferrol - Cádiz 1:0
    11.05.2025 Tenerife - Ferrol 0:0
    04.05.2025 Ferrol - Zaragoza 1:2
    29.04.2025 Almería - Ferrol 2:1
    19.04.2025 Ferrol - Eldense 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander28165756:362053
    2Castellon28147746:291749
    3Almeria28147753:401349
    4Dep. La Coruna28147744:311349
    5Malaga28145941:311047
    6Las Palmas281112534:221245
    7Ceuta281351036:39-344
    8Burgos CF28127930:26443
    9Gijon281261038:36242
    10Cordoba28118938:37141
    11Eibar281081031:30138
    12Andorra28981135:40-535
    13Albacete28981133:39-635
    14Cadiz CF28981129:35-635
    15Leganes288101029:28134
    16Real Sociedad B28971238:39-134
    17Granada CF287111032:33-132
    18Valladolid28881229:38-932
    19Huesca28861426:37-1130
    20Cultural Leonesa28761527:44-1727
    21Mirandes28661628:45-1724
    22Zaragoza28591423:41-1824

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation