Ferrol vs Alcorcón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Ferrol - Alcorcón
Result
2:1
11/05/2024 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 39
  • Referee: Cid Camacho G. (Esp)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.95
Ball Possession
63%37%
Goal Attempts
2012
Shots on Goal
73
Shots off Goal
77
Blocked Shots
62
Free Kicks
1114
Corner Kicks
52
Offsides
21
Throw-ins
2127
Goalkeeper Saves
25
Fouls
1611
Red Cards
01
Attacks
119104
Dangerous Attacks
5224

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 43', Chema 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Castro D. , Clemente E. ,
  • 54', Sanca M. , Addai E. ,
  • 59', Chuca , Pena H. ,
  • 59', Gimenez A. , Justo M. ,
  • 59', Lopez A. , Sene J. ,
  • 63', 1 - 0, Sene J. ,
  • 77', Mosquera P. , Fede ,
  • 78', Borrego C. , Sousa D. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Perez J. ,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Serrano N. ,
  • 87', Losada I. , Manzanara F. ,
  • 89', Castro J. , Obieta K. ,

Chances of winning


Ferrol
45.1%
Draw
31.4%
Alcorcón
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 26.8% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 25.7% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferrol's form might have worsened.
  • Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alcorcón's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferrol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alcorcón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ferrol - Alcorcón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.65)
    3.03
    (3.51)
    4.02
    (5.69)
    5.5%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ferrol - Alcorcón?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Alcorcón will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ferrol: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Ferrol is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Alcorcón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Ferrol is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ferrol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrol - Alcorcón were as follows:
    01.09.2023 Alcorcón - Ferrol 1:1
    12.03.2023 Alcorcón - Ferrol 0:1
    17.12.2022 Ferrol - Alcorcón 1:2
    Latest results of Ferrol
    05.05.2024 Tenerife - Ferrol 2:0
    29.04.2024 Ferrol - Mirandés 0:2
    20.04.2024 Villarreal B - Ferrol 1:0
    14.04.2024 Ferrol - Huesca 2:1
    05.04.2024 Amorebieta - Ferrol 3:1
    Latest results of Alcorcón
    04.05.2024 Cartagena - Alcorcón 1:0
    28.04.2024 Alcorcón - Eldense 0:0
    21.04.2024 Eibar - Alcorcón 2:0
    15.04.2024 Alcorcón - Villarreal B 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Valladolid22004:046
    2Gijon22003:126
    3Eibar21104:134
    4Andorra21104:224
    5Cadiz CF21102:114
    6Huesca21102:114
    7Burgos CF11005:143
    8Racing Santander11003:123
    9Dep. La Coruna11003:123
    10Real Sociedad B11001:013
    11Leganes20202:202
    12Albacete10104:401
    13Almeria10104:401
    14Las Palmas10101:101
    15Malaga10101:101
    16Cordoba10011:2-10
    17Mirandes20020:2-20
    18Castellon20021:4-30
    19Zaragoza20021:4-30
    20Cultural Leonesa10011:5-40
    21Ceuta20020:4-40
    22Granada CF20021:6-50

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