Result
2:1
11/05/2024 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 39
- Referee: Cid Camacho G. (Esp)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.24 | 0.95 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
20 | 12 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
7 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 14 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 27 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 5 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 11 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Attacks |
---|
119 | 104 |
Dangerous Attacks |
---|
52 | 24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Chema 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Castro D. ↓, Clemente E. ↑,
- 54', Sanca M. ↓, Addai E. ↑,
- 59', Chuca ↓, Pena H. ↑,
- 59', Gimenez A. ↓, Justo M. ↑,
- 59', Lopez A. ↓, Sene J. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Sene J. ⚽,
- 77', Mosquera P. ↓, Fede ↑,
- 78', Borrego C. ↓, Sousa D. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Perez J. ⚽,
- 86', 2 - 1, Serrano N. ⚽,
- 87', Losada I. ↓, Manzanara F. ↑,
- 89', Castro J. ↓, Obieta K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ferrol 45.1% | Draw 31.4% | Alcorcón 23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferrol's form might have worsened.Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alcorcón's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferrol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alcorcón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ferrol - Alcorcón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.1 ↑ (1.65) |
3.03 ↓ (3.51) |
4.02 ↓ (5.69) |
5.5% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ferrol - Alcorcón?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Alcorcón will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferrol: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Ferrol is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Alcorcón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Ferrol is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ferrol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Alcorcón?
Ferrol has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alcorcón won against Ferrol?
Alcorcón has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrol - Alcorcón were as follows:
01.09.2023
Alcorcón
-
Ferrol
1:1
12.03.2023
Alcorcón
-
Ferrol
0:1
17.12.2022
Ferrol
-
Alcorcón
1:2
Latest results of Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Gijon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Las Palmas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Castellon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Albacete | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Eibar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Malaga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Cadiz CF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Burgos CF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Huesca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Racing Santander | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Almeria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Dep. La Coruna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Valladolid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Zaragoza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Real Sociedad B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Cultural Leonesa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Leganes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Ceuta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Granada CF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Mirandes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation