Ferroviária vs Atlético Goianiense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Ferroviária - Atlético Goianiense
Result
2:0
17/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 3
  • Referee: Gomes A. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.28
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
83% (317/382)82% (318/387)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.28
xG on target (xGOT)
0.600.15
Total shots
129
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
914
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1615
Passes
83% (317/382)82% (318/387)
Long passes
43% (20/47)63% (45/72)
Passes in final third
68% (64/94)67% (87/130)
Crosses
24% (4/17)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.270.73
Fouls
1516
Tackles
76% (13/17)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5342
Clearances Total
2618
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.150.60
Goals prevented
0.15-1.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', Vladimir 🟨,
  • 33', Guilherme Romao 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Thiago Lopes ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Willian Maranhao , Robert Conceicao ,
  • 46', Willian Pottker , Kauan ,
  • 60', 2 - 0, Gustavo Medina ,
  • 62', Netinho , Tarik ,
  • 62', Thiago Lopes , Ian Luccas ,
  • 64', Ariel , Leo Naldi ,
  • 64', Marcelinho , Martinez F. ,
  • 72', Juninho , Cassio Gabriel ,
  • 72', Albano , Wesley Pomba ,
  • 79', Ruan , da Silva Ramos R. N. ,
  • 82', Tarik 🟨,
  • 82', Lucas Rodrigues , Kevin ,
  • 90', Maycon 🟨,
  • 90+2', Wesley Pomba 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ferroviária
35.1%
Draw
31.8%
Atlético Goianiense
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 31.2% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 30.3% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferroviária's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Goianiense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferroviária, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Goianiense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ferroviária - Atlético Goianiense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.19)
    2.95
    (2.98)
    2.82
    (3.53)
    7%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Atlético Goianiense?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6%98.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A. (Inactive) Denilson (Inactive) Ronaldo Alves (Red Card) Thayllon (Inactive) Vitor Barreto (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Atlético GO: Caio Dantas (Inactive) Shaylon (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    12.04.2025 Amazonas - Ferroviária 0:0
    06.04.2025 Ferroviária - Remo 1:1
    19.03.2025 Ituano - Ferroviária 4:1
    15.03.2025 Ferroviária - Ituano 2:0
    Latest results of Atlético Goianiense
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias17113323:131036
    2Coritiba18104419:12734
    3Novorizontino1787222:121031
    4Vila Nova FC1883717:16127
    5Chapecoense-SC1782721:16526
    6Remo1768319:15426
    7Cuiaba1774619:20-125
    8Avai1767420:18225
    9Athletico-PR1873822:24-224
    10Criciuma1765620:17323
    11Athletic Club18711021:25-422
    12Operario-PR1864821:20122
    13CRB1864816:18-222
    14Atletico GO1857618:20-222
    15America MG1762917:21-420
    16Ferroviaria1847718:22-419
    17Paysandu PA1746716:19-318
    18Volta Redonda1746710:16-618
    19Botafogo SP1746712:20-818
    20Amazonas1745816:23-717

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