Result
 
                    2:1 penalties
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        15/10/2025 at  19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Copa Libertadores Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Argentina | TyC Sports Play | 
|  World | Pluto TV | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.25 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 57% | 43% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 20 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 8 | 4 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 82% (323/394) | 73% (227/309) | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.25 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.30 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 20 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 8 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 9 | 6 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 10 | 6 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 10 | 4 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 23 | 11 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 11 | 21 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 82% (323/394) | 73% (227/309) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 51% (30/59) | 15% (6/39) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 74% (115/156) | 51% (33/65) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 13% (3/23) | 10% (1/10) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.65 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 17 | 20 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 21 | 11 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 53% (9/17) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 47 | 50 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 22 | 23 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 10 | 8 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 4 | 6 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.30 | 2.21 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.21 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', 1 - 0, Mariza ⚽, Andressa Alves (A), 
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 81', 1 - 1, Andressa Pereira ⚽, Fatima Dutra (A), 
- Penalties (6 - 5)
- 1, Gabi Zanotti (Pen), 
- 1, Duda (Pen), 
- 2, Vic Albuquerque (Pen), 
- 2, Kati (Pen), 
- 3, Jaqueline Ribeiro (Pen), 
- 3, Rafa Soares (Pen), 
- 4, Mariza (Pen), 
- 4, Mylena Carioca (Pen), 
- 5, Jhonson (Pen), 
- 5, Micaelly (Pen), 
- 6, Thais Ferreira (Pen), 
- 6, Catyellen (Pen), 
- 7, Duda Sampaio (Pen), 
- 7, Fatima Dutra (Pen), 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Corinthians 65.2%
 | Draw 21.9%
 | Ferroviária 13%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Corinthians - Ferroviária Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.42 ↓ (1.5)
 | 4.22 ↑ (4)
 | 7.12 ↑ (5.75)
 | 8.3% (9.1%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 3.
- Corinthians is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ferroviária is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Corinthians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Corinthians is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:10. (average 1.7:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.7:0.7).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Ferroviária?
                    
                    
                        
                            Corinthians has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Corinthians?
                    
                    
                        
                             Ferroviária has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Ferroviária were as follows:
                                                        
                                12.08.2025 
                                Corinthians 
                                - 
                                Ferroviária 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                11.05.2025 
                                Ferroviária 
                                - 
                                Corinthians 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                01.07.2024 
                                Corinthians 
                                - 
                                Ferroviária 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                22.04.2024 
                                Corinthians 
                                - 
                                Ferroviária 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                15.02.2024 
                                Corinthians 
                                - 
                                Ferroviária 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Corinthians                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Ferroviária