Result
2:1
02/05/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 6
- Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (384/451) | 85% (343/402) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (384/451) | 85% (343/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (25/51) | 57% (30/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (74/104) | 65% (51/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 88% (14/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | -0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Gustavo Coutinho ⚽, Filipe Machado (A),
- 28', Josue 🟨,
- 29', Eric Melo 🟨,
- 29', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Alencar ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
- 46', Ian Luccas ↓, Albano ↑,
- 52', Bruno Melo 🟨,
- 55', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 1, Carlao ⚽, Juninho (A),
- 68', Wallisson 🟨,
- 70', Wallisson ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
- 70', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Junior Brumado ↑,
- 73', Juninho ↓, Igor Bolt ↑,
- 78', Josue ↓, Geovane ↑,
- 78', Filipe Machado ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
- 80', Guilherme Vargas 🟨,
- 80', Ricardinho ↓, Tarik ↑,
- 81', Eric Melo ↓, Ze Mario ↑,
- 81', Lucas Ronier ↓, Ruan Assis ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, Carlao ⚽, Ze Mario (A),
Chances of winning
Ferroviária
31.9% | Draw
33.4% | Coritiba
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferroviária's form might have worsened.Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferroviária, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Ferroviária - Coritiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.4) |
2.82 ↓
(3.08) |
2.74 ↓
(2.99) |
6.5%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Coritiba?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- Recent performances by Ferroviária have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Coritiba is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A.
(Inactive)
Denilson
(Inactive)
Vitor Barreto
(Inactive)
Ze Mario
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Coritiba: Dellatorre
(Inactive)
Everaldo
(Inactive)
Nicolas Careca
(Injury)
Pedro Morisco
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Moledo
(Inactive)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Coritiba?
Ferroviária has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Ferroviária?
Coritiba has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Coritiba were as follows:
Latest results of Ferroviária
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 36 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 33 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 8 | Vila Nova FC | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15:16 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 | Athletico-PR | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | CRB | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 22 |
| 12 | Atletico GO | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | America MG | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | Operario-PR | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
| 16 | Paysandu PA | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
| 17 | Ferroviaria | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
