Result
4:0
05/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 25
- Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (340/395) | 87% (341/390) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (340/395) | 87% (341/390) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 72% (33/46) | 50% (15/30) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (78/113) | 67% (40/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (10/26) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 1.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -1.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Wallisson 🟨,
- 37', Josue ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
- 43', Carlao 🟨,
- 45', Joao Almeida 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Alencar 🟨,
- 47', 1 - 0, Joao Ramos (Own goal),
- 59', 2 - 0, Rodrigo Rodrigues ⚽, de Pena C. (A),
- 61', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Gustavo Coutinho ↑,
- 61', Clayson ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
- 65', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Hernani ↑,
- 65', Alencar ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
- 65', Juninho ↓, Ze Hugo ↑,
- 72', Wallisson ↓, Filipe Machado ↑,
- 73', 3 - 0, Iury Castilho ⚽, Gustavo Coutinho (A),
- 75', Carlao ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
- 75', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
- 86', Ian Luccas ↓, Tarik ↑,
- 88', 4 - 0, Gustavo Coutinho ⚽, Iury Castilho (A),
Chances of winning
Coritiba
57.7% | Draw
26.6% | Ferroviária
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+0.7%)The ML Model estimate for Ferroviária aligns with the current prediction.
Coritiba - Ferroviária Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63
(1.63) |
3.46 ↑
(3.4) |
5.89 ↑
(5.65) |
7.1%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Coritiba - Ferroviária?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 13).
- In recent matches, Coritiba has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ferroviária is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Coritiba is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Coritiba: Alex Silva
(Injury)
Bruno Melo
(Inactive)
Gomez S.
(Yellow Cards)
Nicolas Careca
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Denilson
(Inactive)
Ronaldo Alves
(Yellow Cards)
Vitor Barreto
(Inactive)
Vitor Mendes
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Coritiba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Ferroviária?
Coritiba has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Coritiba?
Ferroviária has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - Ferroviária were as follows:
02.05.2025
Ferroviária
-
Coritiba
2:1
Latest results of Coritiba
Latest results of Ferroviária
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Criciuma | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 36:21 | 15 | 49 |
| 2 | Goias | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 49 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
| 4 | Coritiba | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:19 | 9 | 47 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Chapecoense-SC | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 41 |
| 8 | Atletico GO | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | CRB | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 31:26 | 5 | 40 |
| 10 | Avai | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 40 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 12 | Remo | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:26 | 3 | 39 |
| 13 | Vila Nova FC | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 28:30 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | America MG | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:34 | -7 | 30 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 18:29 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 24:42 | -18 | 29 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 27 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 21:33 | -12 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
