Coritiba vs Ferroviária – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Coritiba - Ferroviária
Result
4:0
05/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 25
  • Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.40
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
86% (340/395)87% (341/390)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.410.10
Total shots
189
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
164
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
3210
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
810
Passes
86% (340/395)87% (341/390)
Long passes
72% (33/46)50% (15/30)
Passes in final third
69% (78/113)67% (40/60)
Crosses
38% (10/26)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.300.28
Throw-ins
1614
Fouls
1110
Tackles
75% (12/16)77% (10/13)
Duels won
3742
Clearances
1831
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.101.41
Goals prevented
0.10-1.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Wallisson 🟨,
  • 37', Josue , de Pena C. ,
  • 43', Carlao 🟨,
  • 45', Joao Almeida 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 46', Alencar 🟨,
  • 47', 1 - 0, Joao Ramos (Own goal),
  • 59', 2 - 0, Rodrigo Rodrigues , de Pena C. (A),
  • 61', Rodrigo Rodrigues , Gustavo Coutinho ,
  • 61', Clayson , Iury Castilho ,
  • 65', Fabricio Daniel , Hernani ,
  • 65', Alencar , Thiago Lopes ,
  • 65', Juninho , Ze Hugo ,
  • 72', Wallisson , Filipe Machado ,
  • 73', 3 - 0, Iury Castilho , Gustavo Coutinho (A),
  • 75', Carlao , Ronaldo ,
  • 75', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
  • 86', Ian Luccas , Tarik ,
  • 88', 4 - 0, Gustavo Coutinho , Iury Castilho (A),

Chances of winning


Coritiba
57.7%
Draw
26.6%
Ferroviária
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 27.1% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 28% 15.8%

Coritiba - Ferroviária Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.63
(1.63)
3.46
(3.4)
5.89
(5.65)
7.1%
(8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Coritiba - Ferroviária?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 13.8%69.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 13).
    • In recent matches, Coritiba has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ferroviária is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Coritiba is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Coritiba: Alex Silva (Injury) Bruno Melo (Inactive) Gomez S. (Yellow Cards) Nicolas Careca (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Ferroviária: Denilson (Inactive) Ronaldo Alves (Yellow Cards) Vitor Barreto (Inactive) Vitor Mendes (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Coritiba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - Ferroviária were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Ferroviária - Coritiba 2:1
    Latest results of Coritiba
    23.08.2025 Coritiba - Remo 0:0
    08.08.2025 Coritiba - Chapecoense 0:0
    31.07.2025 Vila Nova - Coritiba 1:2
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba361810837:221564
    2Athletico-PR361781150:42859
    3Remo361514747:351259
    4Chapecoense-SC351771150:331758
    5Criciuma3616101045:321358
    6Goias3616101040:34658
    7Novorizontino361415740:31957
    8CRB361581343:37653
    9Avai3613131047:39852
    10Atletico GO3613121139:37251
    11Cuiaba3613111241:43-250
    12Vila Nova FC3611131238:40-246
    13Operario-PR3611111438:43-544
    14America MG351191539:42-342
    15Athletic Club361171841:52-1140
    16Ferroviaria368161241:48-740
    17Botafogo SP359111531:50-1938
    18Amazonas358111635:50-1535
    19Volta Redonda368101823:40-1734
    20Paysandu PA ✔ 365121933:48-1527

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Paysandu PA is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )