Coritiba vs Ferroviária – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
05/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 25
  • Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.40
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
86% (340/395)87% (341/390)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.410.10
Total shots
189
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
164
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
3210
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
810
Passes
86% (340/395)87% (341/390)
Long passes
72% (33/46)50% (15/30)
Passes in final third
69% (78/113)67% (40/60)
Crosses
38% (10/26)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.300.28
Throw-ins
1614
Fouls
1110
Tackles
75% (12/16)77% (10/13)
Duels won
3742
Clearances
1831
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.101.41
Goals prevented
0.10-1.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Wallisson 🟨,
  • 37', Josue , de Pena C. ,
  • 43', Carlao 🟨,
  • 45', Joao Almeida 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 46', Alencar 🟨,
  • 47', 1 - 0, Joao Ramos (Own goal),
  • 59', 2 - 0, Rodrigo Rodrigues , de Pena C. (A),
  • 61', Rodrigo Rodrigues , Gustavo Coutinho ,
  • 61', Clayson , Iury Castilho ,
  • 65', Fabricio Daniel , Hernani ,
  • 65', Alencar , Thiago Lopes ,
  • 65', Juninho , Ze Hugo ,
  • 72', Wallisson , Filipe Machado ,
  • 73', 3 - 0, Iury Castilho , Gustavo Coutinho (A),
  • 75', Carlao , Ronaldo ,
  • 75', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
  • 86', Ian Luccas , Tarik ,
  • 88', 4 - 0, Gustavo Coutinho , Iury Castilho (A),

Chances of winning


Coritiba
57.7%
Draw
26.6%
Ferroviária
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 27.1% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 28% 15.8%

Coritiba - Ferroviária Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.63
(1.63)
3.46
(3.4)
5.89
(5.65)
7.1%
(8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Coritiba - Ferroviária?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 13.8%69.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 13).
    • In recent matches, Coritiba has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ferroviária is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Coritiba is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Coritiba: Alex Silva (Injury) Bruno Melo (Inactive) Gomez S. (Yellow Cards) Nicolas Careca (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Ferroviária: Denilson (Inactive) Ronaldo Alves (Yellow Cards) Vitor Barreto (Inactive) Vitor Mendes (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Coritiba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - Ferroviária were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Ferroviária - Coritiba 2:1
    Latest results of Coritiba
    23.08.2025 Coritiba - Remo 0:0
    08.08.2025 Coritiba - Chapecoense 0:0
    31.07.2025 Vila Nova - Coritiba 1:2
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba381911839:231668
    2Athletico-PR381981153:431065
    3Chapecoense-SC381881252:351762
    4Remo381614851:391262
    5Criciuma3817101147:331461
    6Goias3817101142:37561
    7Novorizontino381515843:321160
    8CRB381681445:40556
    9Avai3814141050:401056
    10Cuiaba3814121243:44-154
    11Atletico GO3813131239:38152
    12Operario-PR3812121440:44-448
    13Vila Nova FC3811141340:44-447
    14America MG3812101641:44-346
    15Athletic Club381281843:53-1044
    16Botafogo SP3810121632:52-2042
    17Ferroviaria388161443:52-940
    18Amazonas388121838:55-1736
    19Volta Redonda388121826:43-1736
    20Paysandu PA385132036:52-1628

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          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )