Ferroviária vs EC São José Porto Alegre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Ferroviária - EC São José Porto Alegre
Result
1:0
30/06/2024 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 11
  • Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
118
Shots on Goal
82
Shots off Goal
36
Corner Kicks
64
Goalkeeper Saves
27
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
12
Attacks
137123
Dangerous Attacks
8870

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Juninho (Pen),
  • 19', Tiago Pedra 🟨,
  • 44', Vitor Barreto 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Samuel 🟨,
  • 48', Rafael Carillho , Gabriel Morbeck ,
  • 48', Rene Sousa , Nonato ,
  • 59', Victor Andrade , Fernandinho ,
  • 59', Igor Fernandes , Edson Lucas ,
  • 72', Juninho , Denilson Goulart ,
  • 73', Vitor Barreto , Luis Henrique ,
  • 73', Ze Mateus , Caua A. ,
  • 76', Tiago Pedra , Matheuzinho ,
  • 87', Jadson , Fredson ,
  • 87', Gabriel Morbeck 🟥,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Jackson ,

Chances of winning


Ferroviária
60.6%
Draw
25.6%
EC São José Porto Alegre
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 27.4% 18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 25.6% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviária's performance.
  • EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Ferroviária - EC São José Porto Alegre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.61)
    3.55
    (3.21)
    6.56
    (4.85)
    10.1%
    (13.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
    • Recent matches Ferroviária is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • EC São José Porto Alegre is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • EC São José Porto Alegre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Ferroviária have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Ferroviária is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias14100424:17730
    2Ponte Preta1482414:12226
    3Londrina1475224:131126
    4Nautico1465315:6923
    5Sao Bernardo1465315:9623
    6Brusque1463515:13221
    7Ypiranga FC1463512:14-221
    8Floresta EC1455411:12-120
    9CSA1446416:15118
    10Ituano1445513:16-317
    11Botafogo PB1444616:14216
    12Guarani1444610:13-316
    13Maringa FC1437418:20-216
    14Anapolis1437411:14-316
    15ABC14210216:18-216
    16Figueirense1436516:16015
    17Itabaiana1442812:17-514
    18Confianca1435615:20-514
    19Retro143476:15-913
    20Tombense1426612:17-512

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D