Ferroviária vs EC São José Porto Alegre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Ferroviária - EC São José Porto Alegre
Result
1:0
30/06/2024 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 11
  • Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
118
Shots on Goal
82
Shots off Goal
36
Corner Kicks
64
Goalkeeper Saves
27
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
12
Attacks
137123
Dangerous Attacks
8870

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Juninho (Pen),
  • 19', Tiago Pedra 🟨,
  • 44', Vitor Barreto 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Samuel 🟨,
  • 48', Rafael Carillho , Gabriel Morbeck ,
  • 48', Rene Sousa , Nonato ,
  • 59', Victor Andrade , Fernandinho ,
  • 59', Igor Fernandes , Edson Lucas ,
  • 72', Juninho , Denilson Goulart ,
  • 73', Vitor Barreto , Luis Henrique ,
  • 73', Ze Mateus , Caua A. ,
  • 76', Tiago Pedra , Matheuzinho ,
  • 87', Jadson , Fredson ,
  • 87', Gabriel Morbeck 🟥,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Jackson ,

Chances of winning


Ferroviária
60.6%
Draw
25.6%
EC São José Porto Alegre
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 27.4% 18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 25.6% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviária's performance.
  • EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Ferroviária - EC São José Porto Alegre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.61)
    3.55
    (3.21)
    6.56
    (4.85)
    10.1%
    (13.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
    • Recent matches Ferroviária is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • EC São José Porto Alegre is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • EC São José Porto Alegre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Ferroviária have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Ferroviária is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias ✔ 18121526:18837
    2Nautico ✔ 1795321:61532
    3Ponte Preta ✔ 1793517:15230
    4Londrina ✔ 1785426:17929
    5Sao Bernardo ✔ 1785418:12629
    6Brusque1874718:17125
    7Floresta EC1766513:14-124
    8Ituano1866619:21-224
    9Confianca1765620:21-123
    10Guarani1765617:18-123
    11Ypiranga FC1864816:21-522
    12CSA1757520:19122
    13Maringa FC1749421:22-121
    14Botafogo PB1755721:19220
    15Figueirense1748520:17320
    16Anapolis1747613:18-519
    17Itabaiana1753913:18-518
    18ABC17211419:23-417
    19Retro1734106:20-1413
    20Tombense1727812:20-813

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
    Nautico is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
    Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
    Londrina is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
    Sao Bernardo is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )