Ferroviária vs EC São José Porto Alegre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
30/06/2024 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 11
  • Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
118
Shots on Goal
82
Shots off Goal
36
Corner Kicks
64
Goalkeeper Saves
27
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
12
Attacks
137123
Dangerous Attacks
8870

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Juninho (Pen),
  • 19', Tiago Pedra 🟨,
  • 44', Vitor Barreto 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Samuel 🟨,
  • 48', Rafael Carillho , Gabriel Morbeck ,
  • 48', Rene Sousa , Nonato ,
  • 59', Victor Andrade , Fernandinho ,
  • 59', Igor Fernandes , Edson Lucas ,
  • 72', Juninho , Denilson Goulart ,
  • 73', Vitor Barreto , Luis Henrique ,
  • 73', Ze Mateus , Caua A. ,
  • 76', Tiago Pedra , Matheuzinho ,
  • 87', Jadson , Fredson ,
  • 87', Gabriel Morbeck 🟥,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Jackson ,

Chances of winning


Ferroviária
60.6%
Draw
25.6%
EC São José Porto Alegre
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 27.4% 18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 25.6% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviária's performance.
  • EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Ferroviária - EC São José Porto Alegre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.61)
    3.55
    (3.21)
    6.56
    (4.85)
    10.1%
    (13.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
    • Recent matches Ferroviária is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • EC São José Porto Alegre is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • EC São José Porto Alegre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Ferroviária have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Ferroviária is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amazonas22004:046
    2Botafogo PB22003:036
    3Guarani21103:124
    4Paysandu PA21102:114
    5Brusque21103:214
    6Ypiranga FC21103:214
    7Floresta EC21103:214
    8Santa Cruz21102:114
    9Barra FC21013:123
    10Maringa FC11003:213
    11Inter de Limeira21013:303
    12SER Caxias21012:203
    13Ituano21012:3-13
    14Figueirense10101:101
    15Maranhao20111:4-31
    16Itabaiana20021:3-20
    17Confianca20020:2-20
    18Ferroviaria20022:5-30
    19Anapolis20021:4-30
    20Volta Redonda20020:3-30

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D