Ferroviária vs EC São José Porto Alegre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
30/06/2024 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 11
  • Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
118
Shots on Goal
82
Shots off Goal
36
Corner Kicks
64
Goalkeeper Saves
27
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
12
Attacks
137123
Dangerous Attacks
8870

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Juninho (Pen),
  • 19', Tiago Pedra 🟨,
  • 44', Vitor Barreto 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Samuel 🟨,
  • 48', Rafael Carillho , Gabriel Morbeck ,
  • 48', Rene Sousa , Nonato ,
  • 59', Victor Andrade , Fernandinho ,
  • 59', Igor Fernandes , Edson Lucas ,
  • 72', Juninho , Denilson Goulart ,
  • 73', Vitor Barreto , Luis Henrique ,
  • 73', Ze Mateus , Caua A. ,
  • 76', Tiago Pedra , Matheuzinho ,
  • 87', Jadson , Fredson ,
  • 87', Gabriel Morbeck 🟥,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Jackson ,

Chances of winning


Ferroviária
60.6%
Draw
25.6%
EC São José Porto Alegre
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 27.4% 18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 25.6% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviária's performance.
  • EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Ferroviária - EC São José Porto Alegre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.61)
    3.55
    (3.21)
    6.56
    (4.85)
    10.1%
    (13.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
    • Recent matches Ferroviária is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • EC São José Porto Alegre is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • EC São José Porto Alegre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Ferroviária have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Ferroviária is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amazonas54108:1713
    2Paysandu PA532011:5611
    3Brusque53209:6311
    4Maringa FC530213:1219
    5Guarani52307:439
    6Floresta EC42205:328
    7Inter de Limeira52217:618
    8Ypiranga FC42117:437
    9Ituano42117:527
    10SER Caxias52125:507
    11Botafogo PB52037:8-16
    12Barra FC41216:425
    13Ferroviaria51225:7-25
    14Santa Cruz51132:4-24
    15Figueirense41125:8-34
    16Volta Redonda51133:6-34
    17Maranhao41123:7-44
    18Confianca51042:5-33
    19Anapolis51044:9-53
    20Itabaiana50145:12-71

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D