Ferroviária vs Flamengo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
04/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Brasileiro Women - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
63
Yellow Cards
30
Red Cards
01
Total shots
128
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
85
Corner Kicks
63
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Mariana Santos , Julia Beatriz ,
  • 50', 0 - 1, Cristiane ,
  • 52', 0 - 2, Cristiane ,
  • 56', Cris , Vendito ,
  • 57', Mariana , Laysa ,
  • 58', Julia Beatriz 🟨,
  • 65', Flavia Mota 🟥,
  • 66', Glaucia , Fabi Simoes ,
  • 69', Kati , Camila ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 82', Millene , Raquel ,
  • 82', Fatima Dutra , Catyellen ,
  • 83', Monalisa , Nubia ,
  • 83', Djeni , Leidiane ,
  • 90+2', Darlene 🟨,
  • 90+8', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Ferroviária
56.9%
Draw
24.9%
Flamengo
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 26.9% 15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5% 24.9% 14.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferroviária, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Ferroviária - Flamengo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.58)
    3.68
    (3.4)
    5.02
    (6.01)
    9.2%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 1.
    • Ferroviária is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Flamengo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Flamengo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ferroviária is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Ferroviária will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Flamengo were as follows:
    21.08.2024 Flamengo - Ferroviária 1:0
    11.02.2024 Flamengo - Ferroviária 0:1
    04.12.2023 Ferroviária - Flamengo 1:3
    07.05.2023 Ferroviária - Flamengo 1:2
    12.11.2022 Ferroviária - Flamengo 0:1
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Latest results of Flamengo
    30.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Flamengo 1:1
    26.04.2025 Flamengo - Juventude 2:0
    23.04.2025 Fluminense - Flamengo 1:2
    15.04.2025 Flamengo - Palmeiras 2:5
    Brasileiro Women Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians W971123:81522
    2Palmeiras W953118:81018
    3Sao Paulo W852112:5717
    4Internacional W952212:6617
    5Bahia W951315:12316
    6Flamengo W843115:10515
    7Ferroviaria W943213:9415
    8Fluminense W943211:8315
    9Cruzeiro W935114:10414
    10Bragantino W832314:15-111
    11Santos W925210:11-111
    12Gremio W931510:11-110
    13Atletico-MG W92349:909
    14Mixto W91356:16-106
    15Botafogo RJ W71247:12-55
    16Juventude W91263:10-75
    17America Mineiro W90363:19-163
    18Vitoria W80265:21-162

          Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Brasileiro A2 Women