Result
4:1 penalties
19/03/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paulista A2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Weverton (Own goal),
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Quirino ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 47', 2 - 1, Neto Berola ⚽,
- 73', Juninho 🟨,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, Erik ⚽,
- Penalties (3 - 2)
- 1, Yann Rolim (Pen),
- 1, Ronaldo (Pen),
- 2, Kaio Mendes (Pen),
- 2, Eric (Pen),
- 3, Bruno Alves (Pen),
- 3, Gustavo Medina (Pen),
- 4, Grigor (Pen),
- 4, Thayllon (Pen),
- 5, Guilherme Dal Pian (Pen),
- 5, Lucas Rodrigues (Pen),
Chances of winning
Ituano
40.2% | Draw
30.3% | Ferroviária
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Ituano - Ferroviária Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2.24) |
3.03 ↓
(3.24) |
3.11 ↑
(2.95) |
9%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ituano won 1.
- Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Ituano won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12:20 (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ituano won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Ituano won against Ferroviária?
Ituano has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Ituano?
Ferroviária has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ituano - Ferroviária were as follows:
15.03.2025
Ferroviária
-
Ituano
2:0
22.01.2025
Ferroviária
-
Ituano
3:1
Latest results of Ferroviária
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Primavera (1) | Santo Andre (8) | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Taubate (4) | Sao Jose EC (5) | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Capivariano (2) | Piracicaba (7) | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Ituano (3) | Ferroviaria (6) | 4 : 1, 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Primavera (1) | Taubate (4) | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Capivariano (2) | Ituano (3) | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Primavera (1) | Capivariano (2) | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
