Atlético Cearense vs Ferroviário Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
26/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 4

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
818
Shots on target
55
Corner kicks
45
Total shots
818
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
313
Corner kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Thalisson ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', 0 - 2, Ciel ,

Chances of winning


Atlético Cearense
15.1%
Draw
25.9%
Ferroviário Fortaleza
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.9% 26.5% 57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7% 26.1% 58.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Cearense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Cearense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Atlético Cearense - Ferroviário Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.07
    (5.68)
    3.54
    (3.42)
    1.55
    (1.57)
    9.2%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Cearense won 1.
    • Atlético Cearense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Ferroviário is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ferroviário may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ferroviário is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Atlético Cearense won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Cearense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.9:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Cearense - Ferroviário Fortaleza were as follows:
    09.11.2025 Ferroviário Fortaleza - Atlético Cearense 2:1
    01.12.2024 Ferroviário Fortaleza - Atlético Cearense 2:0
    27.11.2024 Atlético Cearense - Ferroviário Fortaleza 1:0
    28.01.2024 Atlético Cearense - Ferroviário Fortaleza 1:2
    28.06.2023 Ferroviário Fortaleza - Atlético Cearense 2:1
    Latest results of Atlético Cearense
    Latest results of Ferroviário Fortaleza
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional-AM43018:629
    2Manauara42207:348
    3Sao Raimundo RR42204:138
    4Manaus41122:4-24
    5Monte Roraima40221:4-32
    6GAS40132:6-41


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Araguaina532012:4811
    2Guapore43106:2410
    3Porto Velho521211:567
    4Galvez42024:7-36
    5Independencia51226:515
    6Humaita50052:18-160


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama541010:1913
    2Luverdense52214:6-28
    3Aparecidense52127:617
    4Brasiliense51404:317
    5Primavera AC40223:6-32
    6Inhumas40042:8-60


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goiatuba541010:3713
    2Capital53115:3210
    3Mixto51314:406
    4Ceilandia41122:3-14
    5Uniao Rondonopolis51135:10-54
    6Operario VG40133:6-31


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aguia De Maraba52308:539
    2Trem42207:438
    3Imperatriz41305:326
    4Tuna Luso51316:606
    5Oratorio51045:9-43
    6Tocantinopolis50324:8-43


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Iguatu53206:2411
    2Maracana42115:327
    3Parnahyba52125:507
    4Moto Club41213:305
    5Sampaio Correa30210:1-12
    6IAPE50235:10-52


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense-PI52308:449
    2Piaui42118:627
    3Ferroviario42116:427
    4AE Altos52124:7-37
    5Atletico-CE50412:4-24
    6Tirol50234:7-32


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ABC53118:5310
    2America RN53115:2310
    3Central SC52216:428
    4Maguary52125:327
    5Sousa52033:5-26
    6Laguna RN50141:9-81


    Group 9
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Serra Branca52309:549
    2Treze PB421111:747
    3Sergipe42117:617
    4Lagarto51139:12-34
    5Retro41126:9-34
    6Decisao41125:8-34


    Group 10
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juazeirense54019:5412
    2CSA531110:4610
    3ASA52125:507
    4CSE52128:9-17
    5Jacuipense51135:9-44
    6Alagoinhas51044:9-53


    Group 11
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Uberlandia54018:4412
    2Ivinhema53117:5210
    3CRAC52124:317
    4Betim52125:507
    5Operario MS50323:6-33
    6Ouvidorense50232:6-42


    Group 12
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Porto-BA53026:9-39
    2Tombense42114:137
    3Rio Branco ES42117:527
    4Democrata GV42113:217
    5Vitoria ES42027:436
    6Real Noroeste50142:8-61


    Group 13
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa53208:3511
    2Agua Santa53028:449
    3Portuguesa RJ52217:258
    4America RJ51224:11-75
    5Madureira51136:8-24
    6Pouso Alegre51132:7-54


    Group 14
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Piracicaba52309:549
    2Velo Clube52215:328
    3Sampaio Correa FE52215:508
    4Marica52125:507
    5Noroeste51224:5-15
    6Nova Iguacu50232:7-52


    Group 15
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Joinville53207:3411
    2Cianorte53026:429
    3Cascavel52214:228
    4Santa Catarina52129:727
    5Sao Luiz51225:7-25
    6Guarany de Bage50141:9-81


    Group 16
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Blumenau54018:3512
    2Sao Joseense53113:2110
    3Marcilio Dias52213:218
    4Brasil de Pelotas52126:517
    5Azuriz50232:5-32
    6EC Sao Jose50232:7-52

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)