Ferroviário Fortaleza vs Ceará – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:5
25/01/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Cearense - Championship Group - Round 1

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
55
Corner kicks
32
Yellow cards
31
Total shots
109
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
54
Corner kicks
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Gilmar , Vina (A),
  • 10', Alex Silva , Ramos R. ,
  • 23', Gilmar 🟨,
  • 26', Pedrinho 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 2, Matheus Araujo , Pedro Henrique (A),
  • 45', 0 - 3, Matheus Araujo ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 51', Joao Neto 🟨,
  • 57', Jefinho , Camilo ,
  • 57', Pedrinho , Pablo Maldini ,
  • 69', Matheus Araujo , Fernandinho ,
  • 69', Pedro Henrique , Melk ,
  • 75', 0 - 4, Lucas Lima ,
  • 76', Vina , Juan Alano ,
  • 76', Lucas Lima , Richardson ,
  • 80', 1 - 4, Mena Y. , Leo Paraiso (A),
  • 82', Luan , Victor Diotti ,
  • 82', Kiuan , Paulo Ricardo ,
  • 84', Victor Diotti 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 5, Fernandinho , Juan Alano (A),

Chances of winning


Ferroviário Fortaleza
13.6%
Draw
23.6%
Ceará
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 26.1% 55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4% 25.1% 58%

Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ceará Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
6.75
(5.07)
3.87
(3.52)
1.46
(1.65)
9.3%
(8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 1.
  • Ferroviário has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Ceará is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • Ceará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Ceará is the team to beat.
  • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:27. (average 0.9:1.7).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviário won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1.2:2.2).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ceará were as follows:
26.01.2025 Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ceará 1:2
16.03.2024 Ceará - Ferroviário Fortaleza 1:1
09.03.2024 Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ceará 2:3
31.01.2023 Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ceará 1:1
22.01.2023 Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ceará 3:0
Latest results of Ferroviário Fortaleza
Latest results of Ceará
21.01.2026 Tirol - Ceará 1:4
17.01.2026 Ceará - Iguatu 1:1
14.01.2026 Ceará - Maranguape 1:0
10.01.2026 Floresta - Ceará 0:1
07.12.2025 Ceará - Palmeiras 1:3
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense Table
Relegation Group
PlWDLDiffPts
1Maranguape32107:437
2Maracana31115:414
3Quixada31024:6-23
4Tirol31023:5-23

      Relegation