Ferroviário Fortaleza vs Floresta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
26/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Cearense - Play Offs - 3rd place

Match Stats

Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Corner kicks
65
Yellow cards
31
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Corner kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Bismark , Vitinho ,
  • 44', Ramires 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 68', Jefinho , Paulo Ricardo ,
  • 68', Thalisson , Luan ,
  • 83', Matheusinho , Eliandro ,
  • 84', Diego Matos , Diogo Mourao ,
  • 85', Nonato 🟨,
  • 87', 1 - 0, Kiuan ,
  • 90', Rosa B. , Fernando Portel ,
  • 90+1', Marco Antonio , Daniel ,
  • 90+3', Paulo Ricardo 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Ferroviário Fortaleza
42.7%
Draw
31.6%
Floresta
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 29.6% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 28.4% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviário Fortaleza's performance.
  • Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Floresta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Floresta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ferroviário Fortaleza - Floresta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.5)
    2.89
    (3.11)
    3.55
    (2.74)
    9.5%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Ferroviário Fortaleza - Floresta?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ferroviário (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Ferroviário (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Ferroviário Fortaleza will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ferroviário (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 1.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviário won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.6:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviário Fortaleza - Floresta were as follows:
    02.02.2026 Floresta - Ferroviário Fortaleza 0:0
    29.01.2025 Floresta - Ferroviário Fortaleza 3:3
    07.12.2024 Floresta - Ferroviário Fortaleza 0:3
    04.12.2024 Ferroviário Fortaleza - Floresta 0:2
    21.11.2024 Floresta - Ferroviário Fortaleza 2:2
    Latest results of Ferroviário Fortaleza
    Latest results of Floresta
    22.02.2026 Ceará - Floresta 4:0
    15.02.2026 Floresta - Ceará 0:3
    07.02.2026 Horizonte - Floresta 0:1
    26.01.2026 Fortaleza - Floresta 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1FerroviarioFortaleza0 : 2, 0 : 2
    2Floresta ECCeara0 : 4, 0 : 3

    Final
    1FortalezaCeara2 : 1, 1 : 1

    3rd place
    2FerroviarioFloresta EC1 : 0