Result
1:2
19/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Ciel ⚽,
- 24', 1 - 1, Matheus Bambu ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Ciel ⚽,
Chances of winning
Santa Cruz de Natal
30.8% | Draw
32% | Ferroviário Fortaleza
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Cruz de Natal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Santa Cruz de Natal - Ferroviário Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↑
(2.62) |
2.83 ↓
(3.1) |
2.44 ↓
(2.45) |
10.3%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 5).
- Santa Cruz de Natal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ferroviário is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ferroviário may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz de Natal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Cruz de Natal won against Ferroviário Fortaleza?
Santa Cruz de Natal has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviário Fortaleza won against Santa Cruz de Natal?
Ferroviário Fortaleza has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Cruz de Natal - Ferroviário Fortaleza were as follows:
26.04.2025
Ferroviário Fortaleza
-
Santa Cruz de Natal
3:1
04.01.2025
Ferroviário Fortaleza
-
Santa Cruz de Natal
1:0
Latest results of Santa Cruz de Natal
Latest results of Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie D Table
2026Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nacional-AM | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Sao Raimundo RR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Manauara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Manaus | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 5 | GAS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 6 | Monte Roraima | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Porto Velho | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Araguaina | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Guapore | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Independencia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Galvez | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 6 | Humaita | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gama | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Luverdense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Aparecidense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Brasiliense | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | Primavera AC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 6 | Inhumas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Capital | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Goiatuba | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mixto | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Operario VG | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 5 | Uniao Rondonopolis | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 6 | Ceilandia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Imperatriz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Trem | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Aguia De Maraba | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Tuna Luso | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | Tocantinopolis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Oratorio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maracana | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Iguatu | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | IAPE | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Sampaio Correa | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | Moto Club | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 6 | Parnahyba | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fluminense-PI | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Ferroviario | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Piaui | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Atletico-CE | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | AE Altos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 6 | Tirol | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | America RN | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Maguary | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | ABC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Sousa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 5 | Central SC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 6 | Laguna RN | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Group 9 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lagarto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Sergipe | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Treze PB | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Serra Branca | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | Decisao | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 6 | Retro | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Group 10 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CSA | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Juazeirense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | ASA | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Jacuipense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 5 | CSE | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 6 | Alagoinhas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group 11 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ivinhema | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Betim | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Uberlandia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Operario MS | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | CRAC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 6 | Ouvidorense | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group 12 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tombense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Democrata GV | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Vitoria ES | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Porto-BA | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 5 | Rio Branco ES | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 6 | Real Noroeste | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Group 13 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portuguesa RJ | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 4 |
| 2 | Portuguesa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Agua Santa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Madureira | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Pouso Alegre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | America RJ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Group 14 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Piracicaba | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Velo Clube | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Sampaio Correa FE | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 5 | Noroeste | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 6 | Nova Iguacu | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group 15 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Joinville | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Cascavel | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Cianorte | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Santa Catarina | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Guarany de Bage | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 6 | Sao Luiz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
Group 16 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Blumenau | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Sao Joseense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Brasil de Pelotas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Marcilio Dias | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | Azuriz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 6 | EC Sao Jose | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)
