Result
1:2
19/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Ciel ⚽,
- 24', 1 - 1, Matheus Bambu ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Ciel ⚽,
Chances of winning
Santa Cruz de Natal
30.8% | Draw
32% | Ferroviário Fortaleza
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Cruz de Natal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Santa Cruz de Natal - Ferroviário Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↑
(2.62) |
2.83 ↓
(3.1) |
2.44 ↓
(2.45) |
10.3%
(11.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 5).
- Santa Cruz de Natal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ferroviário is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ferroviário may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz de Natal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Cruz de Natal won against Ferroviário Fortaleza?
Santa Cruz de Natal has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviário Fortaleza won against Santa Cruz de Natal?
Ferroviário Fortaleza has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Cruz de Natal - Ferroviário Fortaleza were as follows:
26.04.2025
Ferroviário Fortaleza
-
Santa Cruz de Natal
3:1
04.01.2025
Ferroviário Fortaleza
-
Santa Cruz de Natal
1:0
Latest results of Santa Cruz de Natal
Latest results of Ferroviário Fortaleza
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lagarto | Central SC | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | Maranhao | 2 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 3 | America RN | Juazeirense | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Imperatriz | Manaus | 1 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 5 | AE Altos | Independencia | 3 : 1, 5 : 1 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | Sergipe | 3 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 7 | ASA | Ferroviario | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Manauara | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Aparecidense | Marica | 2 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 10 | EC Sao Jose | Goiatuba | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Inter de Limeira | Marcilio Dias | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 12 | Rio Branco ES | Luverdense | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 13 | Portuguesa | Mixto | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Cianorte | Joinville | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Barra FC | Cascavel | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Ceilandia | Agua Santa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Central SC | Maranhao | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | America RN | Imperatriz | |
| 3 | AE Altos | Santa Cruz | |
| 4 | ASA | Manauara | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Aparecidense | Goiatuba | |
| 6 | Inter de Limeira | Rio Branco ES | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Mixto | Cianorte | |
| 8 | Barra FC | Ceilandia | 1 : 1 |
