Result
1:1
22/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 28
- Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Albania | SuperSport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 Europe | Go3 Sport 2 Baltic |
 France | DAZN France |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Haiti | Tele Haiti |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Indonesia | Kompas TV, Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 New-zealand | ESPN |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN 4, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (400/484) | 78% (330/424) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (400/484) | 78% (330/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (16/41) | 42% (31/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (94/140) | 56% (45/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 59% (16/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | 0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 0 - 1, Steur S. ⚽,
- 55', Sterling R. ↓, Sauer L. ↑,
- 55', Berghuis S. ↓, Dolberg K. ↑,
- 55', Weghorst W. ↓, Bounida R. ↑,
- 60', Baas Y. 🟨,
- 68', Steur S. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
- 73', Tomiyasu T. ↓, Wijndal O. ↑,
- 73', Hadj Moussa A. 🟨,
- 79', Bounida R. 🟨,
- 84', Rosa L. 🟨,
- 84', 1 - 1, Moder J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 85', Lotomba J. ↓, van den Elshout T. ↑,
- 89', Ueda A. ↓, Tengstedt C. ↑,
- 89', Targhalline O. ↓, Kraaijeveld T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Feyenoord
49.7% | Draw
23.7% | Ajax
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Feyenoord - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.78) |
3.97 ↑
(3.85) |
3.58 ↓
(3.78) |
5.6%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Feyenoord - Ajax?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Feyenoord will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Ajax will win (votes: 1 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Feyenoord: 54.4% – 89.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Feyenoord (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Feyenoord will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Feyenoord (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Feyenoord won 2.
- Feyenoord is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Ajax has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ajax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Feyenoord might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Feyenoord won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 27:41. (average 1.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Feyenoord won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.6:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Feyenoord won against Ajax?
Feyenoord has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Feyenoord?
Ajax has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Feyenoord - Ajax were as follows:
14.12.2025
Ajax
-
Feyenoord
2:0
02.02.2025
Ajax
-
Feyenoord
2:1
30.10.2024
Feyenoord
-
Ajax
0:2
07.04.2024
Feyenoord
-
Ajax
6:0
27.09.2023
Ajax
-
Feyenoord
Abandoned
Latest results of Feyenoord
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 82:40 | 42 | 71 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 71:47 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Twente | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 49:31 | 18 | 50 |
| 5 | Ajax | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 54:37 | 17 | 48 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49:45 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 53:47 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 42 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 45:35 | 10 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 42:37 | 5 | 41 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 50:45 | 5 | 35 |
| 12 | Sittard | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 43:54 | -11 | 35 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 38:58 | -20 | 33 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 30:48 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 | Telstar | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 38:48 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 29:49 | -20 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 24 |
| 18 | Heracles | 29 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 34:74 | -40 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
