Result
5:2
12/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 Turkey | Exxen |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (236/307) | 82% (279/342) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.27 | 1.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (236/307) | 82% (279/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (27/49) | 60% (25/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (35/69) | 68% (61/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 50% (14/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.75 | 4.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 11', Sauer L. 🟨,
- 21', Amrabat S. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Watanabe T. ⚽, Hwang In-Beom (A),
- 44', 1 - 1, Brown A. ⚽, Szymanski S. (A),
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Duran J. ⚽, En Nesyri Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Sauer L. ↓, Borges G. ↑,
- 55', 3 - 1, Fred ⚽, Brown A. (A),
- 62', Mourinho J. 🟨,
- 62', Duran J. ↓, Talisca ↑,
- 74', Hwang In-Beom ↓, Valente L. ↑,
- 75', Borges G. 🟨,
- 83', 4 - 1, En Nesyri Y. ⚽, Brown A. (A),
- 85', Steijn S. ↓, Tengstedt C. ↑,
- 87', Fred ↓, Yuksek I. ↑,
- 88', Muldur M. ↓, Demir Y. E. ↑,
- 89', 4 - 2, Watanabe T. ⚽, Ahmedhodzic A. (A),
- 90+5', Semedo N. ↓, Akcicek Y. ↑,
- 90+5', 5 - 2, Talisca ⚽,
Chances of winning
Fenerbahçe
60.2% | Draw
21.9% | Feyenoord
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Fenerbahçe - Feyenoord Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.74) |
4.29 ↑
(4.05) |
5.27 ↑
(4.55) |
5.3%
(4.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe - Feyenoord?
Users Predictions:
64 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 45 - 70.3%). Feyenoord will win (votes: 9 - 14.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 59.1% – 81.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Feyenoord (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
- AH -0.75 - Fenerbahçe (votes: 6 - 100%).
- AH -1 - Feyenoord (votes: 3 - 75%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Fenerbahçe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Feyenoord has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Fenerbahçe is the team to beat.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fenerbahçe won against Feyenoord?
Fenerbahçe has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Feyenoord won against Fenerbahçe?
Feyenoord has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fenerbahçe - Feyenoord were as follows:
06.08.2025
Feyenoord
-
Fenerbahçe
2:1
Latest results of Fenerbahçe
Latest results of Feyenoord
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 2 | Ludogorets | Din. Minsk | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Noah | Buducnost | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Ferencvaros | |
| 5 | TNS | Shkendija | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | FCSB | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | Linfield | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Qarabag | |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
| 10 | Egnatia | Breidablik | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Vikingur | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Crvena zvezda | |
| 13 | Zalgiris | Hamrun | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 15 | Pafos | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 17 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 25 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 29 | KuPS | Milsami | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 30 | O. Ljubljana | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
| 32 | Virtus | Zrinjski | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Basel | Bye | |
| 37 | Levadia | RFS | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 38 | Iberia 1999 | Malmo FF | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 39 | FC Copenhagen | Bye | |
| 40 | Drita | Differdange | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 41 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 45 | Nice | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 49 | Rangers | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | Panathinaikos | |
| 51 | Plzen | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Servette | |
| 53 | Brann | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Salzburg | |
| 56 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Ludogorets | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Noah | Ferencvaros | 3 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Shkendija | FCSB | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | Qarabag | 0 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | Breidablik | 1 : 0, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Lincoln Red Imps | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Hamrun | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 3, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Pafos | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 13 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 15 | KuPS | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Slovan Bratislava | Zrinjski | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 17 | Basel | Bye | |
| 19 | RFS | Malmo FF | 0 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 20 | FC Copenhagen | Drita | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 23 | Nice | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 25 | Rangers | Panathinaikos | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Plzen | Servette | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Brann | Salzburg | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 28 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ludogorets | Ferencvaros | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Shkendija | Qarabag | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | Pafos | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 7 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 8 | Kairat Almaty | Slovan Bratislava | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Basel | Bye | |
| 10 | Malmo FF | FC Copenhagen | 0 : 5, 0 : 0 |
| 11 | Feyenoord | Fenerbahce | 2 : 5, 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Nice | Benfica | 0 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rangers | Plzen | 1 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Salzburg | Club Brugge KV | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Ferencvaros | Qarabag | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Crvena zvezda | Pafos | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | Sturm Graz | 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Celtic | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Basel | FC Copenhagen | 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Fenerbahce | Benfica | 0 : 0 |
| 7 | Rangers | Club Brugge KV | 1 : 3 |
