Result
 
                    2:3
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        13/10/2025 at  12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Bundesliga Women - Round 6
- Referee: Kost A. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria | 
|  Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sky Go Germany, Sport 1 | 
|  Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.14 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 68% | 32% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 12 | 12 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 76% (382/503) | 50% (119/239) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.14 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.07 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 12 | 12 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 5 | 5 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 4 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 8 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 17 | 28 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 10 | 16 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 76% (382/503) | 50% (119/239) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 20% (9/45) | 21% (14/67) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 59% (64/109) | 41% (42/103) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 20% (2/10) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.51 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 48 | 40 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 16 | 10 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 67% (12/18) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 49 | 55 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 32 | 42 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 3 | 7 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.03 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.94 | 0.03 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', Gentile N. 🟨, 
- 26', 0 - 1, Wos O. ⚽, 
- 32', Strasser F. S. 🟨, 
- 41', Polaskova A. 🟨, 
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Miller L. (Own goal), 
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Muhlemann E. ↓, Reske E. ↑, 
- 46', Strasser F. S. ↓, Gora L. ↑, 
- 60', 1 - 2, Lein N. ⚽, Polaskova A. (A), 
- 61', Polaskova A. ↓, Mai F. ↑, 
- 61', Gentile N. ↓, Reuter M. ↑, 
- 71', 1 - 3, Homann S. ⚽, Licina S. (A), 
- 73', Herrmann N. 🟨, 
- 75', Pollak J. ↓, Svensson K. ↑, 
- 75', Schmid S. ↓, Margraf A. ↑, 
- 79', 2 - 3, Jaron I. (Pen), 
- 79', Jaron I. 🟨, 
- 90+3', Gambone A. ↓, Frohlich C. ↑, 
- 90+5', Homann S. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Carl Zeiss Jena 34.3%
 | Draw 27.8%
 | Nürnberg 37.9%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Carl Zeiss Jena - Nürnberg Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.67 ↓ (2.7)
 | 3.3 ↓ (3.36)
 | 2.42 ↑ (2.32)
 | 9.2% (9.9%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women and 12).
- Jena has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Nürnberg is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Nürnberg could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Jena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Carl Zeiss Jena won against Nürnberg?
                    
                    
                        
                            Carl Zeiss Jena has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Nürnberg won against Carl Zeiss Jena?
                    
                    
                        
                             Nürnberg has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Carl Zeiss Jena - Nürnberg were as follows:
                                                        
                                09.09.2023 
                                Carl Zeiss Jena 
                                - 
                                Nürnberg 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                22.04.2023 
                                Nürnberg 
                                - 
                                Carl Zeiss Jena 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                05.11.2022 
                                Carl Zeiss Jena 
                                - 
                                Nürnberg 
                                2:3
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Carl Zeiss Jena                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Nürnberg                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
German Bundesliga Women Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21:2 | 19 | 19 | 
| 2 | Wolfsburg W | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 16 | 
| 3 | Hoffenheim W | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 13 | 
| 4 | Freiburg W | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 13 | 
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 | 
| 6 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 12 | 
| 7 | Union Berlin W | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 10 | 
| 8 | Werder Bremen W | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 | 
| 9 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 | 
| 10 | Koln W | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 | 
| 11 | RB Leipzig W | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 7 | 
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:16 | -8 | 6 | 
| 13 | Jena W | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7:16 | -9 | 2 | 
| 14 | SGS Essen W | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:20 | -18 | 1 | 
      Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women