Figueirense vs Maringá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Figueirense - Maringá
Result
1:1
11/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
87
Corner Kicks
73
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
58
Corner Kicks
73
Goalkeeper Saves
67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', Max Miller 🟨,
  • 17', 1 - 0, Hyuri ,
  • 45', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
  • 45+5', 1 - 1, Ronald Carvalho ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Max Miller , Jhow Alecxander ,
  • 46', Buga , Robertinho ,
  • 46', Luiz Fernando , Julio Rodrigues ,
  • 59', Ramon Vinicius , Rafinha Potiguar ,
  • 62', Hyuri , Joao Lucas ,
  • 71', Felipe Augusto , Marlyson ,
  • 72', Nicolas , Reifit ,
  • 72', Jhony Douglas , Flavio ,
  • 73', Lucas Dias 🟨,
  • 76', Julio Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 81', Ze Vitor , Vinicius Amaral ,
  • 82', Joao Lucas 🟨,
  • 86', Flavio 🟨,
  • 89', Thiago Rosa , Caua Tavares ,

Chances of winning


Figueirense
39.3%
Draw
30.1%
Maringá
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 29.2% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 28.1% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Figueirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Figueirense - Maringá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.15)
    3.05
    (3.15)
    3
    (3.29)
    9%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Figueirense - Maringá?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Figueirense will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Maringá will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Maringá: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Maringá will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 15)
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Maringá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Figueirense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Figueirense
    02.08.2025 ABC - Figueirense 0:0
    27.07.2025 Figueirense - Anápolis 1:2
    20.07.2025 CS Alagoano - Figueirense 1:1
    06.07.2025 Brusque - Figueirense 0:2
    Latest results of Maringá
    03.08.2025 Maringá - Floresta 1:1
    28.07.2025 Tombense - Maringá 1:1
    19.07.2025 ABC - Maringá 3:3
    14.07.2025 Maringá - Brusque 0:2
    06.07.2025 Ypiranga - Maringá 0:0
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    First stage
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias19121626:21537
    2Ponte Preta19113520:16436
    3Nautico19106325:71836
    4Londrina1986527:19830
    5Sao Bernardo1986519:15430
    6Brusque1984720:17328
    7Guarani1976620:20027
    8Floresta EC1976615:15027
    9Confianca1975721:22-126
    10Ypiranga FC1974817:21-425
    11Maringa FC19510426:24225
    12Ituano1966719:24-524
    13Botafogo PB1965822:21123
    14Figueirense1958621:18323
    15Anapolis1958616:19-323
    16Itabaiana1964916:20-422
    17CSA1957721:23-222
    18ABC19212520:25-518
    19Retro1935117:22-1514
    20Tombense1928914:23-914

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D