Result
2:2
04/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Santa Catarina - Round 5
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 21', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Figueirense
36.4% | Draw
29.1% | Náutico Marcílio Dias
34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Figueirense's form might have worsened.Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Náutico Marcílio Dias's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Figueirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Náutico Marcílio Dias, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Figueirense - Náutico Marcílio Dias Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(1.99) |
3.22 ↓
(3.28) |
2.71 ↓
(3.26) |
6.8%
(11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Figueirense is Qualified for Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Figueirense won 1.
- Figueirense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Marcílio Dias has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Figueirense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Figueirense won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Figueirense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Figueirense won against Náutico Marcílio Dias?
Figueirense has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Marcílio Dias won against Figueirense?
Náutico Marcílio Dias has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Figueirense - Náutico Marcílio Dias were as follows:
15.09.2025
Náutico Marcílio Dias
-
Figueirense
1:2
22.02.2025
Náutico Marcílio Dias
-
Figueirense
2:1
15.10.2024
Náutico Marcílio Dias
-
Figueirense
0:0
21.02.2024
Náutico Marcílio Dias
-
Figueirense
2:0
21.10.2023
Figueirense
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
2:2
Latest results of Figueirense
Latest results of Náutico Marcílio Dias
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Figueirense | Chapecoense-SC | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Santa Catarina | Marcilio Dias | 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Blumenau | Tubarao | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Criciuma | Joinville | 0 : 0 |
