Result
0:1
20/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Catarinense - Relegation Group - Round 4
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Lucas Batatinha 🟨,
- 21', Marcelo Sousa 🟨,
- 32', Felipe Baiano 🟨,
- 33', Breno 🟨,
- 34', Victor Guilherme 🟨,
- 36', Breno 🟨,
- 45', Jean Mangabeira 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Victor Guilherme ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
- 46', Marcelo Sousa ↓, Evandro ↑,
- 46', Felipe Baiano ↓, Roldan ↑,
- 46', Kayke ↓, Igor Bolt ↑,
- 46', Jean Mangabeira ↓, Rafinha Potiguar ↑,
- 58', Lucas Batatinha ↓, Kaique Maciel ↑,
- 63', Jonathan 🟨,
- 66', Felipe Augusto ↓, da Costa M. ↑,
- 76', Dudu Sampaio ↓, Paje ↑,
- 77', Jonathan ↓, Felipe Cruz ↑,
- 84', Wesley Costa ↓, Hyuri ↑,
- 89', 0 - 1, Cesinha ⚽,
- 90+4', Leo Maia 🟨,
Chances of winning
Figueirense
43.3% | Draw
29.8% | Náutico Marcílio Dias
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Figueirense's form might have worsened.Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Figueirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Náutico Marcílio Dias, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Figueirense - Náutico Marcílio Dias Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(1.84) |
3.08 ↓
(3.18) |
3.42 ↓
(4.07) |
8.6%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Figueirense - Náutico Marcílio Dias?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Figueirense (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Figueirense won 2.
- Recent form of Figueirense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Marcílio Dias is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Figueirense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Figueirense won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Figueirense won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Figueirense won against Náutico Marcílio Dias?
Figueirense has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Marcílio Dias won against Figueirense?
Náutico Marcílio Dias has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Figueirense - Náutico Marcílio Dias were as follows:
13.02.2026
Náutico Marcílio Dias
-
Figueirense
1:0
10.01.2026
Figueirense
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
1:0
09.11.2025
Náutico Marcílio Dias
-
Figueirense
2:1
02.11.2025
Figueirense
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
3:0
04.10.2025
Figueirense
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
2:2
Latest results of Figueirense
Latest results of Náutico Marcílio Dias
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Concordia | Brusque | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Criciuma | Chapecoense-SC | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Barra FC | Santa Catarina | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Camboriu | Avai | 2 : 0, 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Brusque | Chapecoense-SC | 0 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Barra FC | Camboriu | 3 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Chapecoense-SC | Barra FC | 1 : 3 |
