Fijian Drua vs Waratahs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Super Rugby Fijian Drua - Waratahs
Result
28:14
18/04/2025 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Rugby - Round 10
  • Referee: Williams P. (Nzl)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Tries
32
Conversion Goals
12
Conversion Goal Attempts
32
Penalty Goals
30
Penalty Goal Attempts
50
Goals %
40100
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
20
Total Runs
13057
Metres Run With Ball
617152
Yellow Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (18 - 7)
  • 2', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Penalty Goal),
  • 11', Grant B. , Amatosero M. ,
  • 13', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Penalty Goal),
  • 21', Gamble C. , Gleeson L. ,
  • 22', Murray M. (Try),
  • 23', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Conversion Goal),
  • 23', Wilson T. , Grant J. ,
  • 24', Ravai P. , Tuqiri E. ,
  • 25', Gleeson L. (Try),
  • 26', Creighton L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 31', Kailea I. , Lambert T. ,
  • 34', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Missed Drop Goal),
  • 35', Grant J. , Wilson T. ,
  • 38', Loganimasi P. (Try),
  • 39', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (10 - 7)
  • 45', Dobbins E. , Heaven J. ,
  • 45', Rotuisolia R. L. , Miramira V. ,
  • 46', Doge M. , Tawake S. ,
  • 46', Dolokoto M. , Togiatama Z. ,
  • 50', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Penalty Goal),
  • 51', Creighton L. , Edmed T. ,
  • 51', Wilson T. , Grant J. ,
  • 52', Kuruvoli S. , Nawai L. ,
  • 56', Heaven J. (Try),
  • 57', Edmed T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 57', Murray M. , Tuwai I. ,
  • 60', Loganimasi P. , Ravutaumada S. ,
  • 60', Tuqiri E. , Ravai P. ,
  • 60', Botha D. , Amone S. ,
  • 62', Rabitu I. , Valetini K. ,
  • 65', Talataina L. , O'Donnell H. ,
  • 76', Valetini K. (Missed Penalty),
  • 79', Valetini K. (Missed Drop Goal),
  • 80', Sua'ali'i J. 🟨,
  • 80', Valetini K. (Missed Penalty),
  • 80+4', (Penalty Try),

Chances of winning


Fijian Drua
63.1%
Draw
4%
Waratahs
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.3% 4.3% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5% 5% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fijian Drua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Waratahs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fijian Drua than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waratahs than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Fijian Drua - Waratahs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.59)
    23.28
    (21.25)
    2.8
    (2.48)
    8.1%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 56.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fijian Drua won 1.
    • Fijian Drua is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Waratahs is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Waratahs could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Fijian Drua will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Fijian Drua won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 122:221 (average 20.3:36.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fijian Drua won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 70:120 (average 23.3:40).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fijian Drua - Waratahs were as follows:
    28.02.2025 Waratahs - Fijian Drua 29:24
    22.03.2024 Fijian Drua - Waratahs 39:36
    20.05.2023 Waratahs - Fijian Drua 32:18
    04.03.2023 Fijian Drua - Waratahs 17:46
    Latest results of Fijian Drua
    12.04.2025 Highlanders - Fijian Drua 43:20
    04.04.2025 Fijian Drua - Crusaders 14:31
    23.03.2025 Western Force - Fijian Drua 52:15
    14.03.2025 Brumbies - Fijian Drua 38:21
    07.03.2025 Fijian Drua - Chiefs 28:24
    Latest results of Waratahs
    11.04.2025 Waratahs - Chiefs 21:14
    04.04.2025 Moana Pasifika - Waratahs 45:28
    28.03.2025 Hurricanes - Waratahs 57:12
    22.03.2025 Waratahs - Brumbies 28:23
    15.03.2025 Reds - Waratahs 35:15
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Reds (5)32 : 12
    2Chiefs (1)Blues (6)19 : 20
    3Chiefs (1)Bye
    4Brumbies (3)Hurricanes (4)35 : 28

    Semi-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Blues (6)21 : 14
    2Chiefs (1)Brumbies (3)37 : 17

    Final
    1Crusaders (2)Chiefs (1)16 : 12