Filip Peliwo vs Luca Castelnuovo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Shanghai Challenger Men Filip Peliwo - Luca Castelnuovo
Result
2:0
31/08/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
03
1st Serve Percentage
75%50%
1st Serve Points Won
80% (41/51)74% (23/31)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (9/17)52% (16/31)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
26% (8/31)22% (11/51)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (15/31)47% (8/17)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)50% (1/2)
Service Points Won
72% (49/68)63% (39/62)
Return Points Won
37% (23/62)28% (19/68)
Total Points Won
55% (72/130)45% (58/130)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Filip Peliwo
47.3%
Luca Castelnuovo
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1% 52.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Filip Peliwo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filip Peliwo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Filip Peliwo - Luca Castelnuovo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.09)

    1.76
    (1.69)
    7.6%
    (7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Peliwo is ranked ATP: 535. Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 486.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Castelnuovo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Filip Peliwo
    Latest results of Luca Castelnuovo
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Evans D. (1)Xiao L. (WC)2 : 0
    2Peliwo F. (Q)van Assche L. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Zeppieri G.Onclin G.2 : 0
    4Bar Biryukov P. (LL)Shimabukuro S. (8)2 : 0
    5Nishioka Y. (RET.) (3)Zhou Y. (NG)1 : 1
    6Isomura K. (Q)Tokuda R. (Q)0 : 2
    7Samrej K. (Q)Wu Tung-Lin2 : 1
    8Cui J. (WC)Hsu Y. H. (7)0 : 2
    9McCabe J. (5)Sun F.0 : 2
    10Te R. (RET.) (WC)Jasika O.1 : 1
    11Bai Y.Huang T. (Q)0 : 2
    12Zeng Y. (Q)Tomic B. (4)0 : 2
    13Zhukayev B. (6)Simakin I.1 : 2
    14Uchiyama Y.Gea A. (Alt)2 : 0
    15Crawford O.Sharipov M.2 : 0
    16Noguchi R.Watanuki Y. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Evans D. (RET.) (1)Peliwo F.1 : 1
    2Zeppieri G.Bar Biryukov P.2 : 0
    3Zhou Y.Tokuda R.2 : 0
    4Samrej K.Hsu Y. H. (7)0 : 2
    5Sun F.Jasika O.1 : 2
    6Huang T.Tomic B. (4)0 : 2
    7Simakin I.Uchiyama Y.0 : 2
    8Crawford O.Noguchi R.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Peliwo F.Zeppieri G.0 : 2
    2Zhou Y.Hsu Y. H. (7)1 : 2
    3Jasika O.Tomic B. (4)0 : 2
    4Uchiyama Y.Noguchi R.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Zeppieri G.Hsu Y. H. (7)2 : 0
    2Tomic B. (4)Uchiyama Y.0 : 2

    Final
    1Zeppieri G.Uchiyama Y.2 : 0