Result
2:1
03/10/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- UEFA Nations League - League C - Round 3
- Referee: Hennessy R. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
 Albania | Klani IM, SuperSport 2, TV Klan |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1 |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
 Bolivia | ESPN 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network |
 Croatia | MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 5 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport |
 Ecuador | ESPN 2 |
 Estonia | Go3 Extra Sports |
 Europe | UEFA TV |
 Finland | YLE TV2 |
 France | New World TV |
 Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | Nova Sports 1 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | GTV, K-Vision |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Sky Sport 256 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Lithuania | Go3 Extra Sports |
 Maldives | Medianet |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 2 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
 Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Paraguay | ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
 Russia | Okko Prime, Okko Sport |
 Slovakia | Sport 1 |
 South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2 |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.95 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (541/603) | 85% (335/396) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (541/603) | 85% (335/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 53% (34/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (153/186) | 77% (51/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/29) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.60 | -1.64 |
| Goal kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Manaj R. ⚽, Asllani K. (A),
- 22', Berisha E. 🟥,
- 25', Hoxha A. ↓, Sherri A. ↑,
- 26', 1 - 1, Walta L. ⚽,
- 26', Sherri A. 🟨,
- 40', Kairinen K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kairinen K. ↓, Kamara G. ↑,
- 46', Manaj R. ↓, Daku M. ↑,
- 62', Hakans D. ↓, Jukkola O. ↑,
- 62', Miettinen T. ↓, Vaisanen L. ↑,
- 65', Muci E. ↓, Uzuni M. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Walta L. ⚽,
- 74', Djimsiti B. 🟨,
- 77', Pilo S. ↓, Mehmeti A. ↑,
- 77', Asllani K. ↓, Shehu J. ↑,
- 80', Uzuni M. 🟨,
- 81', Maran R. 🟨,
- 82', Walta L. ↓, Valakari O. ↑,
- 89', Markhiev A. ↓, Peltola M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Finland
38.7% | Draw
32.1% | Albania
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Finland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Albania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Finland - Albania Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(2.2) |
2.95 ↓
(3.27) |
3.23 ↓
(3.25) |
5.9%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Finland - Albania?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Finland will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Albania will win (votes: 6 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Finland: 33.2% – 76.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Finland (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Finland is ranked FIFA: 75., and Albania is ranked FIFA: 67..
- The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
- These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.
How many head-to-head matches has Finland won against Albania?
Finland has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Albania won against Finland?
Albania has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Finland - Albania were as follows:
Latest results of Finland
Latest results of Albania
UEFA Nations League Table
League AGroup 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Spain ✔ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | -8 | 0 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugal ✔ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
Promotion ~ UEFA Nations League (League A ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
UEFA Nations League (Relegation ~ League A/B: )
Relegation ~ UEFA Nations League (League B: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Spain is Qualified for UEFA Nations League (League A ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Portugal is Qualified for UEFA Nations League (League A ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
