Netherlands vs Finland, FIFA World Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA World Cup Netherlands - Finland
Result
4:0
12/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Cup - Qualification
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
europeEuropeUEFA TV
finlandFinlandYLE TV2
franceFranceFree, L'Equipe, Molotov TV, New World TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, Vidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, ART Sport 2
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, NPO 1, NPO 3
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport 3
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldSport 24 At Sea

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.350.65
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
121
Passes
91% (607/666)81% (249/309)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.350.65
xG on target (xGOT)
2.350.22
Total shots
177
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
121
Touches in opposition box
466
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
138
Passes
91% (607/666)81% (249/309)
Long passes
79% (31/39)24% (9/37)
Passes in final third
87% (186/214)74% (42/57)
Crosses
41% (13/32)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
2.290.56
Throw-ins
1411
Fouls
813
Tackles
44% (4/9)85% (11/13)
Duels won
3927
Clearances
326
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.222.35
Goals prevented
0.22-1.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Malen D. , Depay M. (A),
  • 17', 2 - 0, van Dijk V. , Depay M. (A),
  • 38', 3 - 0, Depay M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gravenberch R. , Reijnders T. ,
  • 60', Alho N. , Peltola M. ,
  • 60', Vaananen S. , Lod R. ,
  • 62', Depay M. , Weghorst W. ,
  • 62', Timber J. , van Hecke J. P. ,
  • 69', Keskinen T. , Pohjanpalo J. ,
  • 69', Antman O. , Kallman B. ,
  • 71', van de Ven M. , Ake N. ,
  • 79', Malen D. , Simons X. ,
  • 80', Walta L. , Skytta N. ,
  • 84', 4 - 0, Gakpo C. , Simons X. (A),
  • 86', Koski V. 🟨,
  • 89', Peltola M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Netherlands
89.2%
Draw
6.5%
Finland
4.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
91.7% 6.2% 2.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Netherlands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Finland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Netherlands - Finland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.11
    (1.02)
    16.44
    (15)
    21.72
    (45)
    1.1%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Netherlands - Finland?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Netherlands will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Finland will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Netherlands: 62.1%93.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2.5 - Finland (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Netherlands will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, Netherlands is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Netherlands won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Netherlands - Finland were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Finland - Netherlands 0:2
    Latest results of Netherlands
    09.10.2025 Malta - Netherlands 0:4
    07.09.2025 Lithuania - Netherlands 2:3
    04.09.2025 Netherlands - Poland 1:1
    10.06.2025 Netherlands - Malta 8:0
    07.06.2025 Finland - Netherlands 0:2
    Latest results of Finland
    09.10.2025 Finland - Lithuania 2:1
    07.09.2025 Poland - Finland 3:1
    04.09.2025 Norway - Finland 1:0
    10.06.2025 Finland - Poland 2:1
    07.06.2025 Finland - Netherlands 0:2
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina18122431:102138
    2Ecuador1888214:5929
    3Colombia1877428:181028
    4Uruguay1877422:121028
    5Brazil1884624:17728
    6Paraguay1877414:10428
    7Bolivia18621017:35-1820
    8Venezuela1846818:28-1018
    9Peru1826106:21-1512
    10Chile1825119:27-1811

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