Result
1:2
12/05/2025 at 14:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- World Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | RDS, TSN 1 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Czech-republic | CT sport Plus |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV 3, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Hungary | Sport 1 |
 Latvia | LTV 7 |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Slovakia | JOJ Play, JOJ Sport |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium, Slovenia TV2 |
 Sweden | TV6, Viaplay |
 Switzerland | SRF 2, SRF 2 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 19 | 41 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 5.26% (1/19) | 4.88% (2/41) |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 39 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 95.12% (39/41) | 94.74% (18/19) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 100% (1/1) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 19 | 42 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 31.15 | 68.85 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 04:24, Leppanen A. (2 min),
- 04:45, 0 - 1, Carlsson L. (G), Gustafsson E. (A), Raymond L. (A2)
- 15:08, Merela W. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 02:24, Froden J. (2 min),
- 07:23, 0 - 2, Brodin J. (G), Raymond L. (A),
- 16:43, Pesonen H. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 13:04, 1 - 2, Pesonen H. (G), Lehtonen M. (A), Bjorninen H. (A2)
Chances of winning
Finland
19.4% | Draw
20% | Sweden
60.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Finland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Finland's form might have worsened.Sweden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sweden's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Finland than the current prediction. (+15.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Finland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sweden than the current prediction. (-19%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sweden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Finland - Sweden Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.86 ↑
(2.77) |
4.69 ↑
(3.97) |
1.56 ↓
(2.21) |
6.1%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for Finland - Sweden?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Finland will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Sweden will win (votes: 20 - 69%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sweden: 52.2% – 85.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sweden will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Finland won 3.
- Recent performances by Finland have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sweden is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Finland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sweden is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Sweden: Eklund W.
(Wrist Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Finland won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 51:40. (average 2.6:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Finland won against Sweden?
Finland has won 13 of their last 23 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sweden won against Finland?
Sweden has won 10 of their last 23 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Finland - Sweden were as follows:
04.05.2025
Sweden
-
Finland
6:2
25.04.2025
Finland
-
Sweden
3:0
24.04.2025
Finland
-
Sweden
5:0
18.04.2025
Sweden
-
Finland
0:2
17.04.2025
Sweden
-
Finland
2:1
Latest results of Finland
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Switzerland (B1) | Austria (A4) | 6 : 0 |
| 2 | Canada (A1) | Denmark (B4) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Sweden (A2) | Czech Republic (B3) | 5 : 2 |
| 4 | USA (B2) | Finland (A3) | 5 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Switzerland (B1) | Denmark (B4) | 7 : 0 |
| 2 | Sweden (A2) | USA (B2) | 2 : 6 |
Final| 1 | Switzerland (B1) | USA (B2) | 0 : 1 |
3rd place| 2 | Sweden (A2) | Denmark (B4) | 6 : 2 |
