Result
2:1
11/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 5
- Referee: Milanovic M. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 7, SuperSport Football Plus |
 Albania | SuperSport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 10 |
 Germany | RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
 Greece | ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport 2, Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Football Plus |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 4 |
 Portugal | DAZN 4, DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 6 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-africa | SuperSport Action |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 12 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (347/414) | 86% (507/589) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (347/414) | 86% (507/589) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (21/37) | 53% (28/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (54/82) | 75% (120/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (8/22) | 16% (4/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 2.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.81 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Kean M. ⚽, Dodo (A),
- 44', Ndour C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Dubinchak V. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 1, Mykhaylenko M. ⚽, Pikhalyonok O. (A),
- 67', Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↓, Kouame C. ↑,
- 67', Viti M. ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
- 67', Dzeko E. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
- 71', Dubinchak V. ↓, Vivcharenko K. ↑,
- 71', Guerrero E. ↓, Yarmolenko A. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Gudmundsson A. ⚽,
- 77', Pikhalyonok O. ↓, Yatsyk O. ↑,
- 77', Kabaev V. ↓, Ogundana S. ↑,
- 80', Ndour C. ↓, Mandragora R. ↑,
- 83', Gudmundsson A. 🟨,
- 86', Thiare A. 🟨,
- 86', Dodo ↓, Kouadio E. ↑,
- 90', Vivcharenko K. 🟨,
- 90+3', Kouadio E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fiorentina
67.4% | Draw
19.2% | Dynamo Kyiv
13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+0.2%)The ML Model estimate for Dynamo Kyiv aligns with the current prediction.
Fiorentina - Dynamo Kyiv Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.41) |
4.94 ↑
(4.51) |
7.12 ↑
(6.68) |
5.3%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Dynamo Kyiv?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Dynamo will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 58.6% – 97%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- 1X2, 1st Half - Fiorentina (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Fiorentina (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- In this match, Fiorentina is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Fazzini J.
(Ankle Injury)
Gosens R.
(Thigh Injury)
Lamptey T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Dynamo: Bilovar K.
(Muscle Injury)
Brazhko V.
(Inactive)
Yarmolenko A.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Dynamo Kyiv?
Fiorentina has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Kyiv won against Fiorentina?
Dynamo Kyiv has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Dynamo Kyiv were as follows:
Latest results of Fiorentina
Latest results of Dynamo Kyiv
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
