Fiorentina vs Dynamo Kyiv – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
2:1
11/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Milanovic M. (Srb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 7, SuperSport Football Plus
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
chinaChinaZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 10
germanyGermanyRTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 8
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2, Viaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 4
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3, Arena Sport 6
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Action
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 12
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.230.52
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
84% (347/414)86% (507/589)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
2.230.52
xG on target (xGOT)
2.390.19
Total shots
209
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
184
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2118
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
84% (347/414)86% (507/589)
Long passes
57% (21/37)53% (28/53)
Passes in final third
66% (54/82)75% (120/159)
Crosses
36% (8/22)16% (4/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.56
Throw-ins
1414
Fouls
1310
Tackles
50% (6/12)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4036
Clearances
1924
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.192.39
Goals prevented
-0.810.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Kean M. ⚽, Dodo (A),
  • 44', Ndour C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Dubinchak V. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Mykhaylenko M. ⚽, Pikhalyonok O. (A),
  • 67', Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↓, Kouame C. ↑,
  • 67', Viti M. ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
  • 67', Dzeko E. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
  • 71', Dubinchak V. ↓, Vivcharenko K. ↑,
  • 71', Guerrero E. ↓, Yarmolenko A. ↑,
  • 74', 2 - 1, Gudmundsson A. ⚽,
  • 77', Pikhalyonok O. ↓, Yatsyk O. ↑,
  • 77', Kabaev V. ↓, Ogundana S. ↑,
  • 80', Ndour C. ↓, Mandragora R. ↑,
  • 83', Gudmundsson A. 🟨,
  • 86', Thiare A. 🟨,
  • 86', Dodo ↓, Kouadio E. ↑,
  • 90', Vivcharenko K. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Kouadio E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
67.4%		Draw
19.2%		Dynamo Kyiv
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 20.5% 13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6% 19.9% 13.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Dynamo Kyiv aligns with the current prediction.
    •

    Fiorentina - Dynamo Kyiv Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.41 ↓
    (1.41)    		 4.94 ↑
    (4.51)    		 7.12 ↑
    (6.68)    		 5.3%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Dynamo Kyiv?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Dynamo will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 58.6% – 97%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Fiorentina (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Fiorentina (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • In this match, Fiorentina is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Fazzini J. (Ankle Injury) Gosens R. (Thigh Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Dynamo: Bilovar K. (Muscle Injury) Brazhko V. (Inactive) Yarmolenko A. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    06.12.2025 Sassuolo - Fiorentina 3:1 ✺
    30.11.2025 Atalanta - Fiorentina 2:0 ✺
    27.11.2025 Fiorentina - AEK Athens 0:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Fiorentina - Juventus 1:1 ✺
    09.11.2025 Genoa - Fiorentina 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Dynamo Kyiv
    06.12.2025 Kudrivka - Dynamo Kyiv 1:2 ✺
    01.12.2025 Dynamo Kyiv - Poltava 1:2
    27.11.2025 Omonia - Dynamo Kyiv 2:0 ✺
    22.11.2025 Kolos Kovalivka - Dynamo Kyiv 2:1 ✺
    09.11.2025 Dynamo Kyiv - LNZ Cherkasy 0:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 2
    2Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)1 : 0
    3Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)1 : 1
    4Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)0 : 3
    5Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 1
    6Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)1 : 1
    8Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)0 : 1
    9Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    10Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    11AEK Athens (3)Bye
    12Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    13Mainz (7)Bye
    14AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    15Strasbourg (1)Bye
    16Rakow (2)Bye
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