Sassuolo vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Result
3:1
06/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
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venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.931.19
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
80% (261/325)84% (424/503)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.931.19
xG on target (xGOT)
1.000.77
Total shots
139
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
2714
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1515
Passes
80% (261/325)84% (424/503)
Long passes
42% (25/59)27% (11/41)
Passes in final third
65% (64/99)64% (87/135)
Crosses
32% (6/19)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.56
Throw-ins
1713
Fouls
1515
Tackles
67% (6/9)56% (9/16)
Duels won
4444
Clearances
2426
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.771.00
Goals prevented
-0.23-2.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 7', Muric A. 🟨,
  • 9', 0 - 1, Mandragora R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 14', 1 - 1, Volpato C. ⚽, Muharemovic T. (A),
  • 17', Thorstvedt K. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 2 - 1, Muharemovic T. ⚽, Lauriente A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sohm S. ↓, Ndour C. ↑,
  • 54', Lauriente A. ↓, Fadera A. ↑,
  • 54', Pinamonti A. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,
  • 59', Grosso F. 🟥,
  • 62', Fagioli N. ↓, Piccoli R. ↑,
  • 62', Parisi F. ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
  • 63', Ranieri L. ↓, Viti M. ↑,
  • 65', 3 - 1, Kone I. ⚽, Volpato C. (A),
  • 78', Walukiewicz S. ↓, Coulibaly W. ↑,
  • 79', Volpato C. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
  • 84', Dodo ↓, Kouame C. ↑,
  • 90+3', Ndour C. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Viti M. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Mandragora R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sassuolo
32.4%		Draw
30.4%		Fiorentina
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 28% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3% 28% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
    •

    Sassuolo - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.94 ↑
    (2.69)    		 3.13 ↓
    (3.39)    		 2.6 ↑
    (2.59)    		 4.5%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Sassuolo - Fiorentina?
  • Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Sassuolo will win (votes: 7 - 15.9%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 27 - 61.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 22.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 47% – 75.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 2.
    • Sassuolo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Fiorentina is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Sassuolo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Sassuolo: Berardi D. (Muscle Injury) Boloca D. (Knee Injury) Paz Y. (Hip Injury) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury) Romagna F. (Calf Injury) Skjellerup L. (Muscle Injury) Turati S. (Wrist Injury) Vranckx A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Fazzini J. (Ankle Injury) Gosens R. (Thigh Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Pongracic M. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Sassuolo: Lipani L. (Illness)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:35. (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sassuolo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sassuolo - Fiorentina were as follows:
    28.04.2024 Fiorentina - Sassuolo 5:1
    06.01.2024 Sassuolo - Fiorentina 1:0
    02.06.2023 Sassuolo - Fiorentina 1:3
    07.01.2023 Fiorentina - Sassuolo 2:1
    Latest results of Sassuolo
    28.11.2025 Como - Sassuolo 2:0 ✺
    24.11.2025 Sassuolo - Pisa 2:2 ✺
    09.11.2025 Atalanta - Sassuolo 0:3 ✺
    03.11.2025 Sassuolo - Genoa 1:2 ✺
    30.10.2025 Cagliari - Sassuolo 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    30.11.2025 Atalanta - Fiorentina 2:0 ✺
    27.11.2025 Fiorentina - AEK Athens 0:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Fiorentina - Juventus 1:1 ✺
    09.11.2025 Genoa - Fiorentina 2:2 ✺
    06.11.2025 Mainz - Fiorentina 2:1 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter27221464:214367
    2AC Milan27169243:202357
    3Napoli27165641:281353
    4AS Roma27163837:191851
    5Como27139544:202448
    6Juventus27138646:281847
    7Atalanta27129637:241345
    8Bologna271161036:32439
    9Sassuolo271151134:36-238
    10Udinese271051231:39-835
    11Lazio27810926:27-134
    12Parma27891020:32-1233
    13Cagliari27791129:36-730
    14Torino27861327:47-2030
    15Genoa27691232:39-727
    16Fiorentina27591330:42-1224
    17Cremonese27591321:38-1724
    18Lecce27661518:36-1824
    19Pisa271121420:44-2415
    20Verona27291620:48-2815

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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