Sivasspor vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
16/03/2023 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS
  • Referee: Dabanovic N. (Mne)

Chances of winning


Sivasspor
16%
Draw
23.7%
Fiorentina
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.7% 27.5% 48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1% 26.8% 50%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sivasspor's form might have worsened.
  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentina's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sivasspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sivasspor - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.96
    (3.9)
    3.98
    (3.36)
    1.58
    (1.9)
    5.3%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sivasspor - Fiorentina?
  • Users Predictions: Fiorentina will win (37 of 45 users predict this - 82.22%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.05%93.39%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sivasspor has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a very small chance of qtrs (5%), a very small chance of semis (1%), a very small chance of final (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Fiorentina has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a good chance of qtrs (95%), a good chance of semis (64%), a chance of final (40%), a chance of win league (23%).
    • This event has quality 50, importance 61, match rating 56. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Recent matches Sivasspor is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Fiorentina in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Fiorentina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Sivasspor have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Sivasspor: Gradel M. (Red Card) Osmanpasa C. (Knee Injury) Yalcin R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Biraghi C. (Yellow Cards) Terzic A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sivasspor: Yatabare M. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Sivasspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sivasspor - Fiorentina were as follows:
    09.03.2023 Fiorentina - Sivasspor 1:0
    Latest results of Sivasspor
    13.03.2023 İstanbulspor - Sivasspor 3:0
    09.03.2023 Fiorentina - Sivasspor 1:0
    04.02.2023 Sivasspor - Beşiktaş 1:0
    31.01.2023 Alanyaspor - Sivasspor 0:3
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    12.03.2023 Cremonese - Fiorentina 0:2
    09.03.2023 Fiorentina - Sivasspor 1:0
    04.03.2023 Fiorentina - Milan 2:1
    27.02.2023 Verona - Fiorentina 0:3
    23.02.2023 Fiorentina - Braga 3:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)2 : 1, 1 : 3
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)4 : 0, 2 : 1
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)2 : 1, 0 : 0
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)2 : 0, 0 : 4
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)1 : 1, 1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shakhtar Donetsk (6)AZ Alkmaar (14)
    2Crystal Palace (10)Fiorentina (15)
    3Rayo Vallecano (5)AEK Athens (3)
    4Mainz (7)Strasbourg (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2