Result
1:2
11/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Ben Kacem M. ⚽, Belward S. (A),
- 37', 1 - 1, Pallante G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 2, Elia G. ⚽,
- 83', Kokeri S. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Fiorentino
52.2% | Draw
25.9% | Faetano
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentino's form might have worsened.Faetano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Faetano than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Fiorentino - Faetano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.6) |
3.51 ↓
(3.89) |
4.14 ↓
(4.9) |
10.1%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentino won 4.
- Fiorentino is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Faetano has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Fiorentino is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fiorentino won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentino won against Faetano?
Fiorentino has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Faetano won against Fiorentino?
Faetano has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentino - Faetano were as follows:
13.12.2025
Faetano
-
Fiorentino
0:3
27.04.2025
Faetano
-
Fiorentino
2:3
11.01.2025
Fiorentino
-
Faetano
1:0
14.04.2024
Fiorentino
-
Faetano
1:3
06.01.2024
Faetano
-
Fiorentino
0:1
Latest results of Fiorentino
Latest results of Faetano
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 28 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 61:12 | 49 | 69 |
| 2 | Virtus | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 61:19 | 42 | 66 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 64:17 | 47 | 64 |
| 4 | La Fiorita ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 59:23 | 36 | 51 |
| 5 | Folgore ✔ | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 57:30 | 27 | 51 |
| 6 | Domagnano ✔ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 54:29 | 25 | 46 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 43 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 39 |
| 9 | Libertas | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 31:51 | -20 | 35 |
| 10 | Juvenes/Dogana | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 28:52 | -24 | 30 |
| 13 | Faetano | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 22:52 | -30 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 22:56 | -34 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21:64 | -43 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 28 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17:74 | -57 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Fiorita is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Folgore is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Domagnano is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
