Result
0:2
13/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 3
- Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Premiere, Rede Globo, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (317/376) | 87% (520/595) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (317/376) | 87% (520/595) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (31/59) | 61% (36/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (69/104) | 73% (91/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 0% (0/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.39 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (16/22) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 46 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽,
- 11', Edenilson 🟨,
- 27', Rodrigo Ely ↓, Jemerson ↑,
- 30', Pulgar E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Edenilson ↓, Amuzu F. ↑,
- 64', Michael ↓, Everton ↑,
- 64', Gerson ↓, Plata G. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 2, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Everton (A),
- 75', Pavon C. ↓, Alysson ↑,
- 75', Cristaldo F. ↓, Monsalve M. ↑,
- 75', Camilo Reijers ↓, Dodi ↑,
- 83', de la Cruz N. 🟨,
- 86', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 86', Bruno Henrique ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 86', de la Cruz N. ↓, Allan ↑,
Chances of winning
Grêmio
25.7% | Draw
29.5% | Flamengo
44.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio's form might have worsened.Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flamengo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flamengo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Grêmio - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.65 ↑
(2.73) |
3.2 ↓
(3.47) |
2.12 ↓
(2.47) |
5.8%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Flamengo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 2.
- Grêmio is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Flamengo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Grêmio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Flamengo will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Cuellar G.
(Muscle Injury)
Walter Kannemann
(Hip Injury)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Danilo
(Hamstring Injury)
Vina M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Amuzu F.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 18:39 (average 0.9:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Grêmio won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:19 (average 1.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Flamengo?
Grêmio has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Grêmio?
Flamengo has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Flamengo were as follows:
22.09.2024
Grêmio
-
Flamengo
3:2
13.06.2024
Flamengo
-
Grêmio
2:1
25.10.2023
Grêmio
-
Flamengo
3:2
16.08.2023
Flamengo
-
Grêmio
1:0
26.07.2023
Grêmio
-
Flamengo
0:2
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruzeiro | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:5 | 22 | 30 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 27 |
| 4 | Palmeiras | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
| 11 | Ceara | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14:13 | 1 | 18 |
| 12 | Internacional | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 13 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Sao Paulo | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 18 | Juventude | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10:28 | -18 | 11 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5:21 | -16 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
