Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 22
- Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (550/609) | 79% (240/303) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (550/609) | 79% (240/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (21/33) | 40% (26/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (150/190) | 51% (35/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/31) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
- 45', Leo Ortiz 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 0, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Pedro (A),
- 58', Plata G. ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 60', Braithwaite M. ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
- 60', Olivera C. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 64', Dodi 🟨,
- 65', Edenilson ↓, Pavon C. ↑,
- 77', Pedro ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
- 77', de la Cruz N. ↓, Evertton Araujo ↑,
- 78', Carlos Vinicius ↓, Wagner Leonardo ↑,
- 78', Dodi ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 85', 1 - 1, Tiago Volpi (Pen),
- 90', Varela G. ↓, Emerson Royal ↑,
Chances of winning
Flamengo
73.9% | Draw
18.4% | Grêmio
7.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Flamengo - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.34) |
5.18 ↑
(4.6) |
11.95 ↑
(9.4) |
4.2%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Flamengo - Grêmio?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Grêmio will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 77.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Grêmio (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 3.
- Flamengo has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Grêmio's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Flamengo is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Flamengo: Pulgar E.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Grêmio: Alex Santana
(Yellow Cards)
Gustavo Martins
(Hamstring Injury)
Joao Lucas
(Muscle Injury)
Monsalve M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Villasanti M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Flamengo: Alex Sandro
(Injury)
Michael
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Fabian Balbuena
(Injury)
Freitas dos Santos R.
(Injury)
Joao Pedro
(Broken ankle)
Luan Candido
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:17. (average 2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 20:4. (average 2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Grêmio?
Flamengo has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Flamengo?
Grêmio has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Grêmio were as follows:
13.04.2025
Grêmio
-
Flamengo
0:2
22.09.2024
Grêmio
-
Flamengo
3:2
13.06.2024
Flamengo
-
Grêmio
2:1
25.10.2023
Grêmio
-
Flamengo
3:2
16.08.2023
Flamengo
-
Grêmio
1:0
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 48:11 | 37 | 51 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 39:17 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 41:23 | 18 | 42 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 34:17 | 17 | 39 |
| 6 | Bahia | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Ceara | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Gremio | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 28 |
| 13 | Internacional | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
| 14 | Santos | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 25 |
| 16 | Vasco | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 24 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19:45 | -26 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 16:34 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
