Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 22
- Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.59 | 0.93 |
Ball Possession |
---|
67% | 33% |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
13 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
90% (550/609) | 79% (240/303) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.59 | 0.93 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.37 | 0.90 |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
13 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
33 | 9 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
90% (550/609) | 79% (240/303) |
Long passes |
---|
64% (21/33) | 40% (26/65) |
Passes in final third |
---|
79% (150/190) | 51% (35/68) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (6/31) | 20% (1/5) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.64 | 0.10 |
Throw-ins |
---|
13 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
18 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
73% (11/15) | 63% (12/19) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 52 |
Clearances |
---|
15 | 52 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.90 | 1.37 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.10 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
- 45', Leo Ortiz 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 0, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Pedro (A),
- 58', Plata G. ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 60', Braithwaite M. ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
- 60', Olivera C. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 64', Dodi 🟨,
- 65', Edenilson ↓, Pavon C. ↑,
- 77', Pedro ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
- 77', de la Cruz N. ↓, Evertton Araujo ↑,
- 78', Carlos Vinicius ↓, Wagner Leonardo ↑,
- 78', Dodi ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 85', 1 - 1, Tiago Volpi (Pen),
- 90', Varela G. ↓, Emerson Royal ↑,
Chances of winning
Flamengo 73.9% | Draw 18.4% | Grêmio 7.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Flamengo - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.31 ↓ (1.34) |
5.18 ↑ (4.6) |
11.95 ↑ (9.4) |
4.2% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Flamengo - Grêmio?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Grêmio will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 77.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Grêmio (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 3.
- Flamengo has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Grêmio's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Flamengo is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Flamengo: Pulgar E.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Grêmio: Alex Santana
(Yellow Cards)
Gustavo Martins
(Hamstring Injury)
Joao Lucas
(Muscle Injury)
Monsalve M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Villasanti M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Flamengo: Alex Sandro
(Injury)
Michael
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Fabian Balbuena
(Injury)
Freitas dos Santos R.
(Injury)
Joao Pedro
(Broken ankle)
Luan Candido
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:17. (average 2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 20:4. (average 2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Grêmio?
Flamengo has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Flamengo?
Grêmio has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Grêmio were as follows:
13.04.2025
Grêmio
-
Flamengo
0:2
22.09.2024
Grêmio
-
Flamengo
3:2
13.06.2024
Flamengo
-
Grêmio
2:1
25.10.2023
Grêmio
-
Flamengo
3:2
16.08.2023
Flamengo
-
Grêmio
1:0
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet