Mirassol vs Flamengo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
06/12/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 38
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaFlow Eventos
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlow Sports 1 Caribbean
paraguayParaguayFlow Eventos
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
uruguayUruguayFlow
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.582.18
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
86
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
88% (432/490)83% (242/293)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.582.18
xG on target (xGOT)
3.942.89
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
88
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
1312
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
4226
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
88% (432/490)83% (242/293)
Long passes
66% (27/41)44% (21/48)
Passes in final third
77% (86/112)63% (40/64)
Crosses
25% (6/24)67% (4/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.65
Throw-ins
177
Fouls
1110
Tackles
56% (5/9)45% (5/11)
Duels won
3339
Clearances
339
Interceptions
38
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
2.893.94
Goals prevented
-0.110.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Douglas Telles ,
  • 13', 1 - 1, Chico Kim , Felipe Jonatan (A),
  • 31', 1 - 2, Guilherme Gomes , Goes J. (A),
  • 41', 2 - 2, Alesson , Chico Kim (A),
  • 45', Iago Teodoro 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Jemmes , Luiz Otavio ,
  • 58', Renato Marques , Cristian Renato ,
  • 58', Alesson , Carlos Eduardo ,
  • 59', 2 - 3, Guilherme Gomes ,
  • 63', Chico Kim , Guilherme ,
  • 63', Guilherme Gomes , Joshua ,
  • 65', 3 - 3, Cristian Renato ,
  • 69', Daniel Sales , Wanderson ,
  • 69', Pablo Lucio , Lucas Vieira ,
  • 73', Douglas Telles , Joao Camargo ,
  • 77', Danielzinho , Jose Aldo ,
  • 81', Jose Aldo 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mirassol
72%
Draw
17.8%
Flamengo
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 23.5% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7% 22.9% 15.9%

Mirassol - Flamengo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.32
(1.57)
5.25
(4.02)
9.15
(5.79)
5.9%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Flamengo?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Flamengo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 35.2%92%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Mirassol (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Flamengo (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mirassol will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 6 - 75%). Flamengo (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mirassol is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    • Flamengo is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    • Mirassol has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Flamengo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Mirassol is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Mirassol: Da Silva (Injury) Edson Carioca (Muscle Injury) Matheus Sales (Injury) PH (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Pedro (Broken Hand)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: Reinaldo (Inactive) Renato Marques (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Flamengo: Allan (Inactive) Vina M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Flamengo were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Flamengo - Mirassol 2:1
    Latest results of Mirassol
    02.12.2025 Vasco da Gama - Mirassol 0:2
    24.11.2025 Mirassol - Ceará 3:0
    19.11.2025 Santos - Mirassol 1:1
    09.11.2025 Mirassol - Palmeiras 2:1
    Latest results of Flamengo
    03.12.2025 Flamengo - Ceará 1:0
    29.11.2025 Palmeiras - Flamengo 0:1
    19.11.2025 Fluminense - Flamengo 2:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bragantino22002:026
    2Palmeiras21107:344
    3Mirassol21104:314
    4Sao Paulo21103:214
    5Botafogo RJ21017:523
    6Chapecoense-SC11004:223
    7Gremio21016:513
    8Fluminense11002:113
    9Bahia11002:113
    10Athletico-PR11001:013
    11Vitoria21013:5-23
    12Atletico-MG20112:3-11
    13Flamengo RJ20112:3-11
    14Internacional20111:2-11
    15Santos20113:5-21
    16Remo20112:4-21
    17Vasco10011:2-10
    18Corinthians10011:2-10
    19Coritiba10010:1-10
    20Cruzeiro10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet