Result
1:0
07/05/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 78 | 124 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 29 | 51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Davila Carvajal M. ↓, Cornejo F. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Cornejo F. ⚽,
- 67', Allan ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 67', Bruno Henrique ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 73', Wesley 🟨,
- 75', Carrasco B. ↓, Palacio P. ↑,
- 75', Martinez Arce A. E. ↓, Abrigo J. ↑,
- 75', Vina M. ↓, Ayrton Lucas ↑,
- 76', Wesley ↓, Varela G. ↑,
- 77', Linares N. 🟨,
- 80', Rojas B. 🟨,
- 83', Benitez J. ↓, Fuentes M. ↑,
- 84', Rojas B. ↓, Ceza Gavilan A. A. ↑,
- 88', Gerson 🟨,
- 90+3', Ayrton Lucas 🟨,
Chances of winning
Palestino
15.3% | Draw
23% | Flamengo
61.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flamengo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Palestino - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.17 ↑
(6.15) |
4.08 ↓
(4.25) |
1.52 ↑
(1.49) |
6.6%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palestino - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 54% – 99.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Palestino is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Flamengo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Flamengo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Palestino have a series of home games.
- In this match Flamengo is a favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Palestino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-14.
- Including matches at home between the teams Palestino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Flamengo?
Palestino has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Palestino?
Flamengo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palestino - Flamengo were as follows:
10.04.2024
Flamengo
-
Palestino
2:0
Latest results of Palestino
Latest results of Flamengo
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
| 4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
