Palestino vs Flamengo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores Palestino - Flamengo
Result
1:0
07/05/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.491.31
Ball Possession
35%65%
Goal Attempts
1218
Shots on Goal
53
Shots off Goal
715
Free Kicks
1017
Corner Kicks
65
Offsides
31
Throw-ins
1116
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Fouls
158
Yellow Cards
23
Attacks
78124
Dangerous Attacks
2951

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Davila Carvajal M. , Cornejo F. ,
  • 63', 1 - 0, Cornejo F. ,
  • 67', Allan , Gabriel Barbosa ,
  • 67', Bruno Henrique , Luiz Araujo ,
  • 73', Wesley 🟨,
  • 75', Carrasco B. , Palacio P. ,
  • 75', Martinez Arce A. E. , Abrigo J. ,
  • 75', Vina M. , Ayrton Lucas ,
  • 76', Wesley , Varela G. ,
  • 77', Linares N. 🟨,
  • 80', Rojas B. 🟨,
  • 83', Benitez J. , Fuentes M. ,
  • 84', Rojas B. , Ceza Gavilan A. A. ,
  • 88', Gerson 🟨,
  • 90+3', Ayrton Lucas 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Palestino
15.3%
Draw
23%
Flamengo
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.2% 22% 62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8% 24.2% 69.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flamengo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Palestino - Flamengo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.17
    (6.15)
    4.08
    (4.25)
    1.52
    (1.49)
    6.6%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Palestino - Flamengo?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 54%99.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Palestino is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Flamengo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Flamengo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Palestino have a series of home games.
    • In this match Flamengo is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Palestino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Palestino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palestino - Flamengo were as follows:
    10.04.2024 Flamengo - Palestino 2:0
    Latest results of Palestino
    Latest results of Flamengo
    01.05.2024 Flamengo - Amazonas 1:0
    28.04.2024 Flamengo - Botafogo RJ 0:2
    24.04.2024 Bolívar - Flamengo 2:1
    21.04.2024 Palmeiras - Flamengo 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ