Result
04/05/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
São Paulo
55.8% | Draw
25.4% | Flamengo
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Paulo's performance.Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flamengo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Paulo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flamengo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
São Paulo - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.87) |
3.55 ↑
(3.45) |
4.8 ↑
(3.66) |
11%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 4.
- São Paulo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Flamengo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Flamengo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, São Paulo is the team to beat.
- We predict that São Paulo will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Flamengo?
São Paulo has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against São Paulo?
Flamengo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Flamengo were as follows:
17.09.2025
São Paulo
-
Flamengo
1:0
24.03.2025
Flamengo
-
São Paulo
0:1
12.03.2025
São Paulo
-
Flamengo
1:0
20.05.2024
São Paulo
-
Flamengo
2:1
15.05.2023
Flamengo
-
São Paulo
1:1
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Flamengo
Brasileiro Women Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians W | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23:8 | 15 | 22 |
| 2 | Palmeiras W | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo W | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Internacional W | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Bahia W | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Flamengo W | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Ferroviaria W | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Fluminense W | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Cruzeiro W | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Bragantino W | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Santos W | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Gremio W | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG W | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Mixto W | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:16 | -10 | 6 |
| 15 | Botafogo RJ W | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Juventude W | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3:10 | -7 | 5 |
| 17 | America Mineiro W | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3:19 | -16 | 3 |
| 18 | Vitoria W | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:21 | -16 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Brasileiro A2 Women
