Flavio Cobolli vs Francis Tiafoe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - 1/8-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2, Polsat Sport Premium 3, Polsat Sport Premium 4
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Aces
4	8
Double Faults
6	4
1st Serve Percentage
44%	55%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (15/23)	71% (25/35)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (12/29)	52% (15/29)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)	80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
26% (9/35)	39% (9/23)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (14/29)	59% (17/29)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)	50% (4/8)
Winners
11	19
Unforced Errors
20	28
Net Points Won
100% (2/2)	100% (4/4)
Service Points Won
52% (26/50)	63% (40/63)
Return Points Won
37% (23/63)	48% (24/50)
Total Points Won
43% (49/113)	57% (64/113)
Last 10 Balls
5	5
Match Points Saved
2	0
Service Games Won
50% (4/8)	89% (8/9)
Return Games Won
11% (1/9)	50% (4/8)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)	71% (12/17)

Chances of winning

Flavio Cobolli
45.8%

Francis Tiafoe
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flavio Cobolli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.19)		1.75 ↑ (1.66)	5.1% (5.9%)

What is the prediction for Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe?

Users Predictions: Flavio Cobolli will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flavio Cobolli will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Cobolli is ranked ATP: 18. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 11.
Cobolli is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Tiafoe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Tiafoe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cobolli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Flavio Cobolli won against Francis Tiafoe?

Flavio Cobolli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Francis Tiafoe won against Flavio Cobolli?

Francis Tiafoe has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe were as follows:

16.02.2024 Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe 0:2

Latest results of Flavio Cobolli

23.07.2025 Flavio Cobolli - Yoshihito Nishioka 2:0 ✺

20.07.2025 Flavio Cobolli - Felix Aliassime-Auger 2:1 ✺

18.07.2025 Flavio Cobolli - Richard Gasquet 2:0 ✺

16.07.2025 Flavio Cobolli - Duje Ajdukovic 2:1 ✺

09.07.2025 Flavio Cobolli - Novak Djokovic 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Francis Tiafoe

23.07.2025 Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francis Tiafoe 1:2 ✺

02.07.2025 Cameron Norrie - Francis Tiafoe 3:1 ✺

30.06.2025 Elmer Moller - Francis Tiafoe 0:3 ✺

25.06.2025 Christopher Eubanks - Francis Tiafoe 2:0 ✺

24.06.2025 Francis Tiafoe - Stefanos Tsitsipas 1:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Fritz T. (1)	Bye
2	Mpetshi Perricard G.	Vukic A.	1 : 2
3	Arnaldi M.	Altmaier D.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Sonego L. (16)
5	Davidovich Fokina A. (12)	Bye
6	Munar J.	Giron M.	2 : 0
7	Tien L.	Nava E. (WC)	2 : 0
8	Bye	Rublev A. (5)
9	Shelton B. (4)	Bye
10	McDonald M. (WC)	Smith C. (Q)	2 : 0
11	Bonzi B.	Marozsan F.	0 : 2
12	Bye	Diallo G. (15)
13	Cobolli F. (9)	Bye
14	Nishioka Y.	Brooksby J. (PR)	2 : 1
15	Halys Q.	Kovacevic A.	1 : 2
16	Bye	Tiafoe F. (6)
17	Medvedev D. (8)	Bye
18	Opelka R.	Cassone M. (Q)	2 : 1
19	Monfils G.	Wu Y. (Q)	0 : 2
20	Bye	Popyrin A. (10)
21	Michelsen A. (13)	Bye
22	Evans D. (WC)	Bergs Z.	2 : 1
23	Zhukayev B. (Q)	Muller A.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Moutet C. (LL)
25	De Minaur A. (7)	Bye
26	Goffin D.	Bu Y.	0 : 2
27	Svajda Z. (Q)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
28	Bye	Lehecka J. (11)
29	Nakashima B. (14)	Bye
30	Quinn E. (WC)	O'Connell C.	2 : 0
31	Norrie C.	Harris B. (Q)	2 : 0
32	Bye	Musetti L. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Fritz T. (1)	Vukic A.	2 : 0
2	Arnaldi M.	Sonego L. (16)	2 : 0
3	Davidovich Fokina A. (12)	Munar J.	2 : 0
4	Tien L.	Rublev A. (5)	2 : 0
5	Shelton B. (4)	McDonald M.	2 : 0
6	Marozsan F.	Diallo G. (15)	0 : 2
7	Cobolli F. (9)	Nishioka Y.	2 : 0
8	Kovacevic A.	Tiafoe F. (6)	1 : 2
9	Medvedev D. (8)	Opelka R.	2 : 1
10	Wu Y.	Popyrin A. (10)	2 : 1
11	Michelsen A. (13)	Evans D.	0 : 2
12	Muller A.	Moutet C.	0 : 2
13	De Minaur A. (7)	Bu Y.	2 : 0
14	Svajda Z.	Lehecka J. (11)	1 : 2
15	Nakashima B. (14)	Quinn E.	2 : 0
16	Norrie C.	Musetti L. (2)	2 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Fritz T. (1)	Arnaldi M.	2 : 0
2	Davidovich Fokina A. (12)	Tien L.	2 : 0
3	Shelton B. (4)	Diallo G. (15)	2 : 0
4	Cobolli F. (9)	Tiafoe F. (6)	0 : 2
5	Medvedev D. (8)	Wu Y.	2 : 0
6	Evans D.	Moutet C.	0 : 2
7	De Minaur A. (7)	Lehecka J. (11)	2 : 1
8	Nakashima B. (14)	Norrie C.	2 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Fritz T. (1)	Davidovich Fokina A. (12)	1 : 2
2	Shelton B. (4)	Tiafoe F. (6)	2 : 0
3	Medvedev D. (8)	Moutet C.	1 : 2
4	De Minaur A. (7)	Nakashima B. (14)	2 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Davidovich Fokina A. (12)	Shelton B. (4)	2 : 0
2	Moutet C.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2

Final

1

Davidovich Fokina A. (12)

De Minaur A. (7)

1 : 2