Result
2:0
05/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier, hard - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 59% | 52% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 78% (21/27) | 48% (15/31) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 55% (16/29) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 56% (5/9) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 55% (17/31) | 22% (6/27) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 45% (13/29) | 32% (6/19) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 0% (0/2) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 17% (1/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 74% (34/46) | 52% (30/58) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (28/58) | 26% (12/46) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (62/104) | 40% (42/104) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 56% (5/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 0% (0/8) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 29% (5/17) |
Chances of winning
Luca Nardi
45.5% | Flavio Cobolli
54.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Nardi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flavio Cobolli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Luca Nardi - Flavio Cobolli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↓
(2.26) |
|
1.73 ↑
(1.57) |
6%
(8%) | |
What is the prediction for Luca Nardi - Flavio Cobolli?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Cobolli will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nardi: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Nardi (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cobolli (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- H/A, 1st Set - Nardi (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Nardi (votes: 2 - 50%). Cobolli (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Nardi is ranked ATP: 106. Cobolli is ranked ATP: 20.
- Nardi is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cobolli has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cobolli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nardi won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Nardi won against Flavio Cobolli?
Luca Nardi has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flavio Cobolli won against Luca Nardi?
Flavio Cobolli has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luca Nardi - Flavio Cobolli were as follows:
08.05.2025
Luca Nardi
-
Flavio Cobolli
2:0
06.01.2025
Luca Nardi
-
Flavio Cobolli
Cobolli F. retired
30.11.2023
Flavio Cobolli
-
Luca Nardi
2:3
22.07.2023
Flavio Cobolli
-
Luca Nardi
2:0
Latest results of Luca Nardi
Latest results of Flavio Cobolli
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Medjedovic H. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Vavassori A. (Q) | Blanchet U. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Royer V. | Fils A. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Griekspoor T. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Kecmanovic M. | Carreno-Busta P. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Droguet T. (Q) | Choinski J. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Kouame M. (Q) | Kovacevic A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Humbert U. (5) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Martinez P. | Mannarino A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Gea A. (WC) | Mpetshi Perricard G. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Machac T. (3) | |
| 13 | Hurkacz H. (7) | Damm M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Bautista-Agut R. | O'Connell C. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Basilashvili N. | Nardi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Cobolli F. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Wawrinka S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Blanchet U. | Fils A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Griekspoor T. (4) | Carreno-Busta P. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Droguet T. | Kovacevic A. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Humbert U. (5) | Mannarino A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Gea A. | Machac T. (RET.) (3) | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Damm M. | Bautista-Agut R. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Nardi L. | Cobolli F. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Fils A. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Griekspoor T. (4) | Droguet T. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Mannarino A. | Gea A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Damm M. | Nardi L. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Droguet T. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Mannarino A. | Damm M. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
