Result
2:1
20/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 9
- Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (188/294) | 74% (296/400) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (188/294) | 74% (296/400) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (24/73) | 39% (31/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (70/135) | 53% (59/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 36% (8/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 71 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Ball D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 61', Brophy J. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 1, Davies J. ⚽, Norwood J. (A),
- 67', 1 - 1, Mayor A. ⚽,
- 68', Neal H. ↓, Helm M. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Lavery S. ⚽,
- 74', Norwood J. ↓, Hume D. ↑,
- 74', Medley Z. ↓, Davies W. ↑,
- 74', Bonds E. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 78', Ennis E. ↓, McCann L. ↑,
- 86', Mayor A. ↓, McLoughlin S. ↑,
- 87', Kouassi K. ↓, Jobe M. ↑,
- 90+2', Kaikai S. ↓, Kachunga E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cambridge United
47.5% | Draw
29.8% | Fleetwood Town
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cambridge United's form might have worsened.Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambridge United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Cambridge United - Fleetwood Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.76) |
3.14 ↓
(3.75) |
4.26 ↑
(4.2) |
5.8%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Fleetwood Town?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Cambridge is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Coughlan R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Virtue-Thick M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cambridge: Appere L.
(Injury)
Smith K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Fleetwood Town?
Cambridge United has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Cambridge United?
Fleetwood Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
13.01.2024
Cambridge United
-
Fleetwood Town
2:1
02.12.2023
Cambridge United
-
Fleetwood Town
4:0
12.08.2023
Fleetwood Town
-
Cambridge United
0:2
07.04.2023
Cambridge United
-
Fleetwood Town
2:1
21.02.2023
Fleetwood Town
-
Cambridge United
1:0
Latest results of Cambridge United
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 26 |
| 3 | Salford | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 4 | MK Dons | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:15 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:18 | 9 | 24 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24:21 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | Crewe | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Fleetwood | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
| 11 | Bromley | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 21 |
| 12 | Barnet | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 13 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 21 |
| 14 | Colchester | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 18 |
| 15 | Barrow | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14:25 | -11 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 21:19 | 2 | 15 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 |
| 20 | Cheltenham | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | 14 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 13 |
| 22 | Accrington | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:16 | -4 | 12 |
| 23 | Crawley | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 |
| 24 | Newport | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
