Result
2:1
20/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 9
- Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.52 | 0.67 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
---|
23 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
64% (188/294) | 74% (296/400) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.52 | 0.67 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.21 | 0.84 |
Total shots |
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23 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
12 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
42 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 1 |
Offsides |
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3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 11 |
Passes |
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64% (188/294) | 74% (296/400) |
Long passes |
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33% (24/73) | 39% (31/80) |
Passes in final third |
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52% (70/135) | 53% (59/112) |
Crosses |
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25% (6/24) | 18% (3/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.46 | 0.74 |
Throw-ins |
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31 | 22 |
Fouls |
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11 | 12 |
Tackles |
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52% (12/23) | 36% (8/22) |
Duels won |
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68 | 71 |
Clearances |
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23 | 50 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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0.84 | 2.21 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.16 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Ball D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 61', Brophy J. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 1, Davies J. ⚽, Norwood J. (A),
- 67', 1 - 1, Mayor A. ⚽,
- 68', Neal H. ↓, Helm M. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Lavery S. ⚽,
- 74', Norwood J. ↓, Hume D. ↑,
- 74', Medley Z. ↓, Davies W. ↑,
- 74', Bonds E. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 78', Ennis E. ↓, McCann L. ↑,
- 86', Mayor A. ↓, McLoughlin S. ↑,
- 87', Kouassi K. ↓, Jobe M. ↑,
- 90+2', Kaikai S. ↓, Kachunga E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cambridge United 47.5% | Draw 29.8% | Fleetwood Town 22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cambridge United's form might have worsened.Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambridge United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Cambridge United - Fleetwood Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.98 ↑ (1.76) |
3.14 ↓ (3.75) |
4.26 ↑ (4.2) |
5.8% (7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Fleetwood Town?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Cambridge is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Coughlan R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Virtue-Thick M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cambridge: Appere L.
(Injury)
Smith K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Fleetwood Town?
Cambridge United has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Cambridge United?
Fleetwood Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
13.01.2024
Cambridge United
-
Fleetwood Town
2:1
02.12.2023
Cambridge United
-
Fleetwood Town
4:0
12.08.2023
Fleetwood Town
-
Cambridge United
0:2
07.04.2023
Cambridge United
-
Fleetwood Town
2:1
21.02.2023
Fleetwood Town
-
Cambridge United
1:0
Latest results of Cambridge United
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Walsall | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
2 | Swindon | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 24 |
3 | Grimsby | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 21 |
4 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
5 | Salford | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
6 | MK Dons | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 18 |
7 | Cambridge Utd | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Chesterfield | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Notts Co | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
10 | Barnet | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
11 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 |
12 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
13 | Bromley | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 17:15 | 2 | 15 |
14 | Fleetwood | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Oldham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
17 | Barrow | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
18 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 11 |
19 | Colchester | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 11 |
20 | Accrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 9 |
21 | Crawley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 8 |
22 | Cheltenham | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6:24 | -18 | 7 |
23 | Shrewsbury | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 6 |
24 | Newport | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:21 | -11 | 5 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League