Result
1:2
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 27
- Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (207/343) | 74% (320/434) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (207/343) | 74% (320/434) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (31/100) | 34% (30/87) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (62/126) | 61% (116/189) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.98 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 75 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.06 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Kaikai S. ⚽,
- 39', Evans C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', Helm M. 🟨,
- 64', Knight B. ↓, Ball D. ↑,
- 70', Davies W. ↓, Roberts L. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Ennis E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 75', Holgate H. ↓, Mullarkey T. ↑,
- 75', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Neal H. ↑,
- 77', Hoddle G. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
- 77', Bennett L. ↓, Purrington B. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 2, Gibbons J. ⚽,
- 87', Appere L. ↓, McLoughlin S. ↑,
- 90', Helm M. ↓, Devonport O. ↑,
- 90+6', Mullarkey T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fleetwood Town
30.5% | Draw
29.7% | Cambridge United
39.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Fleetwood Town - Cambridge United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↑
(3) |
3.14 ↑
(3.01) |
2.35 ↓
(2.43) |
7.5%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Cambridge United?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 0.
- Fleetwood has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Cambridge is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Fleetwood may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Fleetwood has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Holgate H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hume D.
(Inactive)
Johnson W.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cambridge: Smith K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J.
(Inactive)
Norwood J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z.
(Inactive)
Kouassi K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mayor A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fleetwood won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Cambridge United?
Fleetwood Town has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Fleetwood Town?
Cambridge United has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town - Cambridge United were as follows:
20.09.2025
Cambridge United
-
Fleetwood Town
2:1
13.01.2024
Cambridge United
-
Fleetwood Town
2:1
02.12.2023
Cambridge United
-
Fleetwood Town
4:0
12.08.2023
Fleetwood Town
-
Cambridge United
0:2
07.04.2023
Cambridge United
-
Fleetwood Town
2:1
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
Latest results of Cambridge United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | MK Dons ✔ | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 85:44 | 41 | 85 |
| 2 | Bromley ✔ | 45 | 23 | 15 | 7 | 68:45 | 23 | 84 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 45 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 81 |
| 4 | Salford | 45 | 25 | 5 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 80 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 45 | 24 | 7 | 14 | 73:51 | 22 | 79 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 45 | 22 | 11 | 12 | 73:49 | 24 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 45 | 20 | 16 | 9 | 69:55 | 14 | 76 |
| 8 | Swindon | 45 | 22 | 9 | 14 | 69:57 | 12 | 75 |
| 9 | Barnet | 45 | 20 | 13 | 12 | 68:52 | 16 | 73 |
| 10 | Crewe | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 45 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 57:44 | 13 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 55:53 | 2 | 65 |
| 13 | Colchester | 45 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 58:48 | 10 | 63 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 45 | 19 | 4 | 22 | 55:64 | -9 | 61 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 45 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 56:57 | -1 | 60 |
| 16 | Accrington | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 53 |
| 17 | Cheltenham | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 52:75 | -23 | 52 |
| 18 | Gillingham | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 52:72 | -20 | 50 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 42:68 | -26 | 49 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 45 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 53:78 | -25 | 40 |
| 21 | Newport | 45 | 11 | 7 | 27 | 46:76 | -30 | 40 |
| 22 | Crawley | 45 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 39 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 38:66 | -28 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 45 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 44:76 | -32 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
Bromley is Qualified for League One
