Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 11
- Referee: Mulhall S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (254/356) | 72% (312/435) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (254/356) | 72% (312/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (23/80) | 38% (33/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (56/99) | 50% (69/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 41% (9/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 43% (9/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.76 | -1.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Helm M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', Bonds E. 🟨,
- 53', Harmon G. 🟨,
- 61', Mullarkey T. 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 0, Hutchinson I. ⚽, Archer E. (A),
- 67', Graydon R. ↓, Davies W. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 0, Martin J. ⚽, Hutchinson I. (A),
- 71', Evans C. ↓, Neal H. ↑,
- 71', Davies J. ↓, Virtue-Thick M. ↑,
- 71', Helm M. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,
- 75', Martin J. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
- 75', Bickerstaff J. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
- 76', Ennis E. ↓, McCann L. ↑,
- 88', Hutchinson I. ↓, Kinsella L. ↑,
- 90+3', Stevenson B. ↓, Willcox F. ↑,
- 90+4', Neal H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cheltenham Town
28.2% | Draw
28.4% | Fleetwood Town
43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fleetwood Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fleetwood Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.3 ↑
(2.82) |
3.28 ↑
(3.27) |
2.17 ↓
(2.44) |
6.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 47.7% – 95.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Fleetwood (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fleetwood Town will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 2.
- Recent form of Cheltenham has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Fleetwood has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Fleetwood is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T.
(Inactive)
Angol L.
(Red Card)
Cundy R.
(Injury)
Pell H.
(Red Card)
Thomas J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Coughlan R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Cheltenham: Mazionis J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J.
(Injury)
Rooney S.
(Injury)
Virtue-Thick M.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Fleetwood Town?
Cheltenham Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Cheltenham Town?
Fleetwood Town has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
08.02.2025
Fleetwood Town
-
Cheltenham Town
2:0
28.09.2024
Cheltenham Town
-
Fleetwood Town
0:2
29.03.2024
Fleetwood Town
-
Cheltenham Town
1:2
03.10.2023
Cheltenham Town
-
Fleetwood Town
0:2
04.03.2023
Cheltenham Town
-
Fleetwood Town
1:0
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 26 |
| 3 | Salford | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 4 | MK Dons | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:15 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:18 | 9 | 24 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24:21 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | Crewe | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Fleetwood | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
| 11 | Bromley | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 21 |
| 12 | Barnet | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 13 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 21 |
| 14 | Colchester | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 18 |
| 15 | Barrow | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14:25 | -11 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 21:19 | 2 | 15 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 |
| 20 | Cheltenham | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | 14 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 13 |
| 22 | Accrington | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:16 | -4 | 12 |
| 23 | Crawley | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 |
| 24 | Newport | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
