Cheltenham Town vs Fleetwood Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town
Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 11
  • Referee: Mulhall S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.55
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
06
Passes
71% (254/356)72% (312/435)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.900.76
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
614
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
06
Touches in opposition box
1934
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
117
Passes
71% (254/356)72% (312/435)
Long passes
29% (23/80)38% (33/86)
Passes in final third
57% (56/99)50% (69/137)
Crosses
38% (5/13)41% (9/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.121.45
Throw-ins
2132
Fouls
711
Tackles
65% (13/20)43% (9/21)
Duels won
5368
Clearances
4125
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
0.760.90
Goals prevented
0.76-1.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Helm M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 50', Bonds E. 🟨,
  • 53', Harmon G. 🟨,
  • 61', Mullarkey T. 🟨,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Hutchinson I. , Archer E. (A),
  • 67', Graydon R. , Davies W. ,
  • 69', 2 - 0, Martin J. , Hutchinson I. (A),
  • 71', Evans C. , Neal H. ,
  • 71', Davies J. , Virtue-Thick M. ,
  • 71', Helm M. , Norwood J. ,
  • 75', Martin J. , Broom R. ,
  • 75', Bickerstaff J. , Taylor T. ,
  • 76', Ennis E. , McCann L. ,
  • 88', Hutchinson I. , Kinsella L. ,
  • 90+3', Stevenson B. , Willcox F. ,
  • 90+4', Neal H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cheltenham Town
28.2%
Draw
28.4%
Fleetwood Town
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 28.6% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 28.6% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fleetwood Town's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fleetwood Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.3
    (2.82)
    3.28
    (3.27)
    2.17
    (2.44)
    6.8%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 47.7%95.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Fleetwood (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fleetwood Town will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 2.
    • Recent form of Cheltenham has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fleetwood has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Fleetwood is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Inactive) Angol L. (Red Card) Cundy R. (Injury) Pell H. (Red Card) Thomas J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Fleetwood: Coughlan R. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cheltenham: Mazionis J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J. (Injury) Rooney S. (Injury) Virtue-Thick M. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Fleetwood Town - Cheltenham Town 2:0
    28.09.2024 Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town 0:2
    29.03.2024 Fleetwood Town - Cheltenham Town 1:2
    03.10.2023 Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town 0:2
    04.03.2023 Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town 1:0
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    Latest results of Fleetwood Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1482419:13626
    2Swindon1482424:19526
    3Salford1481520:18225
    4MK Dons1473427:151224
    5Notts Co1473425:151024
    6Grimsby1473427:18924
    7Chesterfield1465324:21323
    8Gillingham1464419:14522
    9Crewe1471620:18222
    10Fleetwood1464421:20122
    11Bromley1456321:18321
    12Barnet1463518:15321
    13Cambridge Utd1463516:15121
    14Colchester1446421:18318
    15Barrow1453613:15-218
    16Bristol Rovers1452714:25-1117
    17Oldham1437412:12016
    18Tranmere1336421:19215
    19Harrogate1442815:23-814
    20Cheltenham1442810:25-1514
    21Shrewsbury1434712:22-1013
    22Accrington1333712:16-412
    23Crawley1433814:22-812
    24Newport1432914:23-911

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League