Cheltenham Town vs Fleetwood Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Whaddon Road (Cheltenham).

League Two - Round 11
Referee: Mulhall S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	1.55
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
11	19
Shots on target
5	6
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
0	6
Passes
71% (254/356)	72% (312/435)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	1.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.90	0.76
Total shots
11	19
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
3	6
Blocked Shots
3	7
Shots inside the Box
6	14
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
0	6
Touches in opposition box
19	34
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
11	7
Passes
71% (254/356)	72% (312/435)
Long passes
29% (23/80)	38% (33/86)
Passes in final third
57% (56/99)	50% (69/137)
Crosses
38% (5/13)	41% (9/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.12	1.45
Throw-ins
21	32
Fouls
7	11
Tackles
65% (13/20)	43% (9/21)
Duels won
53	68
Clearances
41	25
Interceptions
5	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	3
xGOT faced
0.76	0.90
Goals prevented
0.76	-1.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Helm M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Bonds E. 🟨,
53', Harmon G. 🟨,
61', Mullarkey T. 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Hutchinson I. ⚽, Archer E. (A),
67', Graydon R. ↓, Davies W. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Martin J. ⚽, Hutchinson I. (A),
71', Evans C. ↓, Neal H. ↑,
71', Davies J. ↓, Virtue-Thick M. ↑,
71', Helm M. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,
75', Martin J. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
75', Bickerstaff J. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
76', Ennis E. ↓, McCann L. ↑,
88', Hutchinson I. ↓, Kinsella L. ↑,
90+3', Stevenson B. ↓, Willcox F. ↑,
90+4', Neal H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cheltenham Town
28.2%

Draw
28.4%

Fleetwood Town
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

28.6%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

28.6%

38.2%

Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.82)	3.28 ↑ (3.27)	2.17 ↓ (2.44)	6.8% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Fleetwood (1.56) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fleetwood Town will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 2.
Recent form of Cheltenham has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Fleetwood has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Fleetwood is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Inactive) Angol L. (Red Card) Cundy R. (Injury) Pell H. (Red Card) Thomas J. (Injury)
There will not play in Fleetwood: Coughlan R. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Cheltenham: Mazionis J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J. (Injury) Rooney S. (Injury) Virtue-Thick M. (Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Fleetwood Town?

Cheltenham Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Cheltenham Town?

Fleetwood Town has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town were as follows:

08.02.2025 Fleetwood Town - Cheltenham Town 2:0

28.09.2024 Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town 0:2

29.03.2024 Fleetwood Town - Cheltenham Town 1:2

03.10.2023 Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town 0:2

04.03.2023 Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town 1:0

Latest results of Cheltenham Town

27.09.2025 Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town 7:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Cheltenham Town - Oldham Athletic 0:3 ✺

13.09.2025 Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town 2:0 ✺

06.09.2025 Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley 1:0 ✺

02.09.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Cheltenham Town 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Fleetwood Town

27.09.2025 Fleetwood Town - Colchester United 4:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Cambridge United - Fleetwood Town 2:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Fleetwood Town - Walsall 1:1 ✺

06.09.2025 Notts County - Fleetwood Town 1:0 ✺

02.09.2025 Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley 2:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	23	13	6	4	40:26	14	45
2	Swindon	23	13	4	6	37:26	11	43
3	Walsall	23	13	4	6	32:21	11	43
4	MK Dons	23	11	7	5	44:25	19	40
5	Salford	23	12	4	7	33:30	3	40
6	Notts Co	23	11	6	6	36:25	11	39
7	Chesterfield	23	10	8	5	39:32	7	38
8	Cambridge Utd	23	10	8	5	26:19	7	38
9	Fleetwood	23	9	7	7	32:29	3	34
10	Colchester	23	8	9	6	37:28	9	33
11	Gillingham	23	7	11	5	31:26	5	32
12	Barnet	23	8	8	7	30:25	5	32
13	Crewe	23	9	5	9	34:31	3	32
14	Oldham	23	7	10	6	23:18	5	31
15	Grimsby	23	8	7	8	34:30	4	31
16	Accrington	23	8	6	9	26:26	0	30
17	Tranmere	23	7	8	8	37:37	0	29
18	Cheltenham	23	8	3	12	21:37	-16	27
19	Barrow	23	6	6	11	25:33	-8	24
20	Crawley	23	4	7	12	27:40	-13	19
21	Shrewsbury	23	4	7	12	21:38	-17	19
22	Bristol Rovers	23	5	3	15	18:44	-26	18
23	Newport	23	4	5	14	23:41	-18	17
24	Harrogate	23	4	5	14	18:37	-19	17

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League