Cheltenham Town vs Fleetwood Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Whaddon Road (Cheltenham).

League Two - Round 11
Referee: Mulhall S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	1.55
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
11	19
Shots on target
5	6
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
0	6
Passes
71% (254/356)	72% (312/435)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	1.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.90	0.76
Total shots
11	19
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
3	6
Blocked Shots
3	7
Shots inside the Box
6	14
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
0	6
Touches in opposition box
19	34
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
11	7
Passes
71% (254/356)	72% (312/435)
Long passes
29% (23/80)	38% (33/86)
Passes in final third
57% (56/99)	50% (69/137)
Crosses
38% (5/13)	41% (9/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.12	1.45
Throw-ins
21	32
Fouls
7	11
Tackles
65% (13/20)	43% (9/21)
Duels won
53	68
Clearances
41	25
Interceptions
5	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	3
xGOT faced
0.76	0.90
Goals prevented
0.76	-1.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Helm M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Bonds E. 🟨,
53', Harmon G. 🟨,
61', Mullarkey T. 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Hutchinson I. ⚽, Archer E. (A),
67', Graydon R. ↓, Davies W. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Martin J. ⚽, Hutchinson I. (A),
71', Evans C. ↓, Neal H. ↑,
71', Davies J. ↓, Virtue-Thick M. ↑,
71', Helm M. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,
75', Martin J. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
75', Bickerstaff J. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
76', Ennis E. ↓, McCann L. ↑,
88', Hutchinson I. ↓, Kinsella L. ↑,
90+3', Stevenson B. ↓, Willcox F. ↑,
90+4', Neal H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cheltenham Town
28.2%

Draw
28.4%

Fleetwood Town
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

28.6%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

28.6%

38.2%

Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.82)	3.28 ↑ (3.27)	2.17 ↓ (2.44)	6.8% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Fleetwood (1.56) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fleetwood Town will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 2.
Recent form of Cheltenham has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Fleetwood has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Fleetwood is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Inactive) Angol L. (Red Card) Cundy R. (Injury) Pell H. (Red Card) Thomas J. (Injury)
There will not play in Fleetwood: Coughlan R. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Cheltenham: Mazionis J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J. (Injury) Rooney S. (Injury) Virtue-Thick M. (Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Fleetwood Town?

Cheltenham Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Cheltenham Town?

Fleetwood Town has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town were as follows:

08.02.2025 Fleetwood Town - Cheltenham Town 2:0

28.09.2024 Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town 0:2

29.03.2024 Fleetwood Town - Cheltenham Town 1:2

03.10.2023 Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town 0:2

04.03.2023 Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town 1:0

Latest results of Cheltenham Town

27.09.2025 Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town 7:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Cheltenham Town - Oldham Athletic 0:3 ✺

13.09.2025 Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town 2:0 ✺

06.09.2025 Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley 1:0 ✺

02.09.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Cheltenham Town 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Fleetwood Town

27.09.2025 Fleetwood Town - Colchester United 4:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Cambridge United - Fleetwood Town 2:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Fleetwood Town - Walsall 1:1 ✺

06.09.2025 Notts County - Fleetwood Town 1:0 ✺

02.09.2025 Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley 2:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Walsall	18	11	2	5	28:18	10	35
2	Swindon	18	10	4	4	31:24	7	34
3	MK Dons	18	9	5	4	35:20	15	32
4	Notts Co	18	9	4	5	30:20	10	31
5	Bromley	18	8	6	4	28:22	6	30
6	Gillingham	19	7	8	4	26:20	6	29
7	Cambridge Utd	18	8	5	5	20:16	4	29
8	Salford	18	9	2	7	24:25	-1	29
9	Colchester	19	7	7	5	28:21	7	28
10	Chesterfield	18	7	7	4	32:29	3	28
11	Crewe	18	8	3	7	27:24	3	27
12	Grimsby	18	7	5	6	32:25	7	26
13	Fleetwood	18	7	5	6	27:26	1	26
14	Barnet	18	6	7	5	22:19	3	25
15	Tranmere	18	5	8	5	30:27	3	23
16	Oldham	18	5	8	5	16:13	3	23
17	Accrington	18	5	6	7	21:22	-1	21
18	Barrow	18	5	5	8	18:23	-5	20
19	Crawley	18	4	5	9	22:30	-8	17
20	Shrewsbury	18	4	5	9	18:31	-13	17
21	Bristol Rovers	18	5	2	11	15:31	-16	17
22	Cheltenham	18	5	2	11	14:32	-18	17
23	Harrogate	18	4	4	10	17:28	-11	16
24	Newport	18	3	3	12	18:33	-15	12

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League