Result
3:1
13/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Eley R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 0.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (305/407) | 72% (296/409) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.07 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (305/407) | 72% (296/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (33/85) | 40% (33/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (80/115) | 61% (87/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 4% (1/25) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (16/24) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 3.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.85 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Sharp B. ⚽, Middleton G. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Morrison G. ↓, Bonds E. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 0, Sharp B. ⚽, Broadbent G. (A),
- 54', Grehan S. ↓, Bailey O. ↑,
- 62', Medley Z. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 62', Rooney S. ↓, Roberts L. ↑,
- 67', Hanlan B. ↓, Adelakun H. ↑,
- 68', Middleton G. ↓, Molyneux L. ↑,
- 70', Helm M. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
- 70', Davies W. ↓, Devonport O. ↑,
- 81', Clifton H. ↓, Okoronkwo F. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 0, Adelakun H. ⚽,
- 90', 3 - 1, Davies J. ⚽,
- 90+3', Bonds E. 🟨,
- 90+4', Molyneux L. 🟨,
- 90+5', Davies J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Doncaster Rovers
50.5% | Draw
25.3% | Fleetwood Town
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.3%)The ML Model estimate for Fleetwood Town aligns with the current prediction.
Doncaster Rovers - Fleetwood Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.82) |
3.63 ↑
(3.55) |
3.82 ↑
(3.68) |
8.1%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Doncaster Rovers - Fleetwood Town?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Doncaster Rovers will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Doncaster Rovers will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 2.
- Doncaster has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Fleetwood is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Fleetwood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Doncaster is considered a favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Doncaster won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Fleetwood Town?
Doncaster Rovers has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Doncaster Rovers?
Fleetwood Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Doncaster Rovers - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
01.01.2025
Doncaster Rovers
-
Fleetwood Town
2:1
04.12.2024
Fleetwood Town
-
Doncaster Rovers
2:4
Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lincoln | Huddersfield | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Salford | Rotherham | 2 : 7 |
| 3 | Doncaster | Chesterfield | 5 : 1 |
| 4 | Tranmere | Fleetwood | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Bolton | Bradford City | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Port Vale | Barnsley | 5 : 0 |
| 7 | Crewe | Stockport County | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Harrogate | Blackpool | 4 : 2 |
| 9 | Luton | Exeter | 4 : 0 |
| 10 | Swindon | Peterborough | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | Plymouth | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Cardiff | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 5 |
| 14 | Colchester | West Ham U21 | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Northampton | Wycombe | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Stevenage | Walsall | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Rotherham | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Doncaster | Fleetwood | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Bolton | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Stockport County | Harrogate | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Luton | Swindon | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | Plymouth | 3 : 4 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | West Ham U21 | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Northampton | Walsall | 4 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Doncaster | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Port Vale | Stockport County | 0 : 4 |
| 3 | Luton | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | AFC Wimbledon | Northampton | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Doncaster | Stockport County | |
| 2 | Luton | Northampton | |
Final
