Result
2:0
11/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiere Ligue Women - Round 17
- Referee: Laur C. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | DAZN App |
Ecuador | DAZN App |
Peru | DAZN App |
Venezuela | DAZN App |
World | FIFA+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (378/458) | 76% (310/408) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (378/458) | 76% (310/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (32/58) | 35% (19/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (67/106) | 53% (44/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.12 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (16/23) | 71% (17/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.49 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Ngock M. 🟨,
- 22', Butel A. 🟨,
- 32', Butel A. 🟥,
- 32', Jaurena I. 🟨,
- 45+9', 1 - 0, Khelifi L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Calba L. 🟨,
- 64', Cance L. ↓, Sundahl S. ↑,
- 71', Khelifi L. ↓, Robillard C. ↑,
- 74', Chossenotte S. ↓, Hoarau C. ↑,
- 80', Saoud I. ↓, Toloba A. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 0, Toloba A. ⚽,
- 87', Ngock M. ↓, Moussa I. ↑,
- 88', Caputo C. 🟨,
- 90+5', Calba L. ↓, Eloissaint R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nantes 37.1% | Draw 26.8% | Fleury 91 36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Fleury 91 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nantes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleury 91 than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Nantes - Fleury 91 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.48 ↑ (2.3) |
3.43 ↑ (3.42) |
2.54 ↓ (2.68) |
8.8% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nantes - Fleury 91?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Fleury will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fleury (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Fleury (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Fleury (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Fleury (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.8:2.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Nantes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Fleury 91?
Nantes has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleury 91 won against Nantes?
Fleury 91 has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Fleury 91 were as follows:
22.11.2025
Fleury 91
-
Nantes
1:2
12.04.2025
Fleury 91
-
Nantes
4:0
07.12.2024
Nantes
-
Fleury 91
0:0
05.03.2023
Fleury 91
-
Nantes
6:1
Latest results of Fleury 91
French Division 1 Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyon W ✔ | 19 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 68:9 | 59 | 53 |
| 2 | Paris FC W | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 36:13 | 23 | 39 |
| 3 | PSG W | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 42:26 | 16 | 38 |
| 4 | Nantes W | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Dijon W | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 30 |
| 6 | Fleury 91 W | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 23:17 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | Strasbourg W | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 23:30 | -7 | 26 |
| 8 | Le Havre W | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19:39 | -20 | 17 |
| 9 | Marseille W | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 25:41 | -16 | 16 |
| 10 | St Etienne W | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 10:34 | -24 | 12 |
| 11 | Lens W | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 17:43 | -26 | 12 |
| 12 | Montpellier W | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 26:40 | -14 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Seconde Ligue Women
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lyon W is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs Semi~finals)