Sorrento vs Floreat Athena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
05/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Western Australia - Round 19

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
135
Corner Kicks
52
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
135
Shots off target
57
Corner Kicks
52
Goalkeeper Saves
311

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, ,
  • 27', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 71', 1 - 2, Mathet A. ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Gibbs C. ,

Chances of winning


Sorrento
56.6%
Draw
22.6%
Floreat Athena
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 22.6% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1% 18.4% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sorrento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Floreat Athena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sorrento that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floreat Athena than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Floreat Athena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sorrento - Floreat Athena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.64)
    4.21
    (4)
    4.59
    (4.08)
    4.8%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Sorrento - Floreat Athena?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sorrento will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Floreat Athena will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sorrento: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sorrento will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ WA State League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 2.
    • In recent matches, Sorrento has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Floreat Athena has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Floreat Athena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Floreat Athena has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Sorrento is the team to beat.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sorrento won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sorrento - Floreat Athena were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Floreat Athena - Sorrento 0:1
    15.07.2023 Floreat Athena - Sorrento 2:1
    13.05.2023 Sorrento - Floreat Athena 3:1
    Latest results of Sorrento
    26.07.2025 Sorrento - Balcatta 2:0
    12.07.2025 Sorrento - Fremantle City 1:2
    05.07.2025 Perth SC - Sorrento 1:3
    27.06.2025 Perth Glory U23 - Sorrento 3:1
    Latest results of Floreat Athena
    Australian NPL Western Australia Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olympic Kingsway43105:2310
    2Western Knights42208:358
    3Perth RedStar42205:328
    4Bayswater421110:287
    5Perth Azzurri421111:927
    6Stirling Macedonia42026:516
    7Perth Glory U2341218:715
    8Dianella White Eagle41217:705
    9Fremantle City41216:605
    10Sorrento40224:9-52
    11Armadale40137:13-61
    12Balcatta40044:15-110

          Promotion ~ NPL Western Australia (Play Offs: )
          NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ WA State League