Florent Bax vs Gabriele Pennaforti – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
02/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
44
Double Faults
36
1st serve percentage
62%64%
1st serve points won
85% (29/34)76% (26/34)
2nd serve points won
52% (11/21)47% (9/19)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)33% (1/3)
1st return points won
32% (11/34)15% (5/34)
2nd return points won
53% (10/19)48% (10/21)
Break Points Converted
67% (2/3)0% (0/0)
Winners
1524
Unforced errors
1224
Net points won
50% (7/14)50% (1/2)
Service Points Won
71% (30/42)63% (27/43)
Return Points Won
37% (16/43)29% (12/42)
Total Points Won
54% (46/85)46% (39/85)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
02
Service games won
100% (7/7)71% (5/7)
Return games won
29% (2/7)0% (0/7)
Total games won
64% (9/14)36% (5/14)

Chances of winning


Florent Bax
57.9%
Gabriele Pennaforti
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.7% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Florent Bax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Gabriele Pennaforti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Florent Bax - Gabriele Pennaforti Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.48)

    2.23
    (2.48)
    6.5%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Florent Bax - Gabriele Pennaforti?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bax will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Pennaforti will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pennaforti: 23.1%88.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Bax (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gabriele Pennaforti will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Bax (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Pennaforti (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bax is ranked ATP: 272. Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 608.
    • Bax has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Pennaforti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Florent Bax
    09.02.2026 Florent Bax - Denis Yevseyev Bax F. retired
    28.01.2026 Florent Bax - Marek Gengel Gengel M. retired
    27.01.2026 Florent Bax - Fajing Sun 2:1
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Johns G.2 : 1
    2Bax F.Pennaforti G. (WC)2 : 0
    3Erhard M.Schwaerzler J. J.0 : 2
    4Cuenin S.Kolar Z. (7)0 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (4)Kopp S.0 : 2
    6Cecchinato M.Ouakaa A. (WC)2 : 0
    7Ionel N. D. (Q)De Krom M. (Q)1 : 2
    8Pieri S. (Q)Kym J. (5)1 : 2
    9Pavlovic L. (8)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    10Coulibaly E.Bouchelaghem C. (WC)2 : 0
    11Napolitano S. (Q)Denolly C.2 : 0
    12Forejtek J.Mikrut L. (3)0 : 2
    13Clarke J. (6)Hemery C.1 : 2
    14Houkes M.Nijboer R. (Q)0 : 2
    15Martin A.Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    16Dalla Valle E. (Q)Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Bax F.2 : 0
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Kolar Z. (7)2 : 1
    3Kopp S.Cecchinato M.1 : 2
    4De Krom M.Kym J. (5)0 : 2
    5Pavlovic L. (8)Coulibaly E.2 : 0
    6Napolitano S.Mikrut L. (RET.) (3)1 : 1
    7Hemery C.Nijboer R.2 : 0
    8Jianu F. C.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Schwaerzler J. J.1 : 2
    2Cecchinato M.Kym J. (RET.) (5)0 : 1
    3Pavlovic L. (8)Napolitano S.0 : 2
    4Hemery C.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    2Napolitano S.Gea A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Napolitano S.2 : 0