Result
2:1
12/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Julio Vaz ⚽,
- 26', Gabryel Martins 🟨,
- 28', Ruan ↓, Gustavo Ramos ↑,
- 34', Roger 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 1, Rian K. R. d. N. ⚽,
- 43', 2 - 1, Jeam ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fabao ↓, Jean Pyerre ↑,
- 53', Gabriel Terra 🟨,
- 56', 🟨,
- 61', Roger ↓, Montefiori T. ↑,
- 61', Gabryel Martins ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
- 68', Gabriel Terra ↓, Marlone ↑,
- 71', Jeam ↓, Rubens ↑,
- 71', Romarinho ↓, Gustavo Xuxa ↑,
- 81', Lucas Ramos ↓, Lucas Fogaca ↑,
- 81', Julio Vaz ↓, Guilherme Martineli ↑,
- 81', Gustavo Ramos ↓, Davi Castro ↑,
Chances of winning
Floresta
38.9% | Draw
32.5% | Ypiranga
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Ypiranga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Floresta - Ypiranga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.27) |
2.78 ↑
(2.74) |
3.16 ↓
(3.41) |
10.8%
(10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
- Floresta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ypiranga is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Floresta could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Floresta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Floresta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Floresta won against Ypiranga?
Floresta has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ypiranga won against Floresta?
Ypiranga has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Floresta - Ypiranga were as follows:
12.08.2024
Floresta
-
Ypiranga
2:2
14.08.2023
Floresta
-
Ypiranga
2:0
Latest results of Floresta
Latest results of Ypiranga
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias ✔ | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 26:18 | 8 | 37 |
| 2 | Nautico ✔ | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 21:6 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 30 |
| 4 | Londrina ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 27:18 | 9 | 30 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo ✔ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Brusque | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 18:17 | 1 | 25 |
| 7 | Ituano | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 24 |
| 8 | Floresta EC | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 24 |
| 9 | Confianca | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 23 |
| 10 | Guarani | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Figueirense | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 23 |
| 12 | Ypiranga FC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:21 | -5 | 22 |
| 13 | CSA | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
| 14 | Maringa FC | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 23:24 | -1 | 22 |
| 15 | Botafogo PB | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:19 | 2 | 20 |
| 16 | Anapolis | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 20 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15:20 | -5 | 19 |
| 18 | ABC | 17 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 | Retro | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 6:20 | -14 | 13 |
| 20 | Tombense | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
Clinched Spots for Teams
SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Nautico is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Londrina is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Sao Bernardo is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
