Florian Broska vs Mert Alkaya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
17/01/2026 at 10:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 2, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
73

Chances of winning


Florian Broska
42.6%
Mert Alkaya
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 59.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Florian Broska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Mert Alkaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florian Broska than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Florian Broska - Mert Alkaya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.18)

    1.61
    (1.6)
    8.3%
    (8.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Broska is ranked ATP: 416. Alkaya is ranked ATP: 407.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Alkaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Alkaya could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Broska won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Florian Broska
    Latest results of Mert Alkaya
    15.01.2026 Leo Borg - Mert Alkaya 0:2
    13.01.2026 Tiago Cacao - Mert Alkaya 0:2
    10.01.2026 Olle Wallin - Mert Alkaya 2:1
    09.01.2026 Ergi Kirkin - Mert Alkaya 0:2
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Johns G. (1)Naydenov Y.2 : 0
    2Barroso Campos A.Ogura K.1 : 2
    3Yamanaka T.Shin M.1 : 2
    4Colombo A.Pokorny L. (6)0 : 2
    5Wallin O. (4)Brown O.1 : 2
    6Knani O.Sakellaridis D.0 : 2
    7Luis T.Saitoh K.0 : 2
    8Vankan M.Agafonov E. (7)0 : 2
    9Janvier M. (8)Aubriot A.1 : 2
    10Seleznev B.Plans J.0 : 2
    11Ciocca G.Krajci M.0 : 2
    12Hamza Reguig S. (RET.)Broska F. (3)0 : 1
    13Vandermeersch C. (5)Forcano I.2 : 0
    14Faurel T.Robert N.2 : 0
    15Borg L.Tessa L.2 : 0
    16Cacao T.Alkaya M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Johns G. (1)Ogura K.2 : 0
    2Shin M.Pokorny L. (6)0 : 2
    3Brown O.Sakellaridis D.1 : 2
    4Saitoh K.Agafonov E. (7)2 : 0
    5Aubriot A.Plans J.2 : 1
    6Krajci M.Broska F. (3)0 : 2
    7Vandermeersch C. (5)Faurel T.1 : 2
    8Borg L.Alkaya M. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Johns G. (1)Pokorny L. (6)1 : 2
    2Sakellaridis D.Saitoh K.0 : 2
    3Aubriot A.Broska F. (3)1 : 2
    4Faurel T.Alkaya M. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Pokorny L. (6)Saitoh K.2 : 0
    2Broska F. (3)Alkaya M. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Pokorny L. (6)Broska F. (3)2 : 0