Result
0:0
18/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 23
- Referee: Barbara I. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Jah M. ↓, Dervisagic K. ↑,
- 66', Vella D. ↓, Mbong P. ↑,
- 66', Vella J. ↓, Simkus D. ↑,
- 76', Veselji M. ↓, Zammit Lonardelli C. ↑,
- 76', M'Mombwa C. ↓, Areias R. ↑,
- 80', Linden R. ↓, Christie-Davies I. ↑,
- 80', Arias U. ↓, Caruana T. ↑,
- 81', Caruana T. 🟨,
- 86', Mendonca I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Floriana
44.3% | Draw
30% | Marsaxlokk
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Floriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floriana than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Floriana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Floriana - Marsaxlokk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↑
(1.92) |
3.01 ↓
(3.2) |
3.51 ↓
(3.55) |
10.8%
(11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Floriana - Marsaxlokk?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Floriana will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Marsaxlokk will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Floriana: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Floriana (votes: 1 - 25%). Marsaxlokk (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Floriana (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Floriana (votes: 2 - 40%). Marsaxlokk (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Floriana won 5.
- Floriana is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Marsaxlokk is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Floriana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Floriana is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Floriana won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:10. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Floriana won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Floriana won against Marsaxlokk?
Floriana has won 9 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marsaxlokk won against Floriana?
Marsaxlokk has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Floriana - Marsaxlokk were as follows:
03.01.2026
Floriana
-
Marsaxlokk
1:0
23.11.2025
Floriana
-
Marsaxlokk
2:1
20.09.2025
Marsaxlokk
-
Floriana
1:2
12.04.2025
Floriana
-
Marsaxlokk
2:1
09.02.2025
Floriana
-
Marsaxlokk
2:1
Latest results of Floriana
Latest results of Marsaxlokk
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 20:7 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | Hamrun | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:4 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 19 |
| 4 | Naxxar | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Valletta | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Gzira | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Sliema | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | Zabbar | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Tarxien | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 6 |
| 12 | Mosta | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7:24 | -17 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )
